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July 29, 2008

Institutional "Core Holdings" ... The Essence of the Stock Market
by Marty Chenard

We have spoken at length about the importance of Institutional investors vs. the stock market. The key element of importance was the fact that Institutions control well over 50% of any day's typical volume. So, the market follows the trend of what Institutions are doing with their "core holdings".

Investors who trade against the prevailing trend of Institutions are betting that they can produce a profit when Institutions are trading against them.

It is just not sound investing and the odds are that you will always lose money in the long run if you trade in the opposite direction of the Institutional "core holding" trend.

This morning we will show you the current Institutional index chart as of yesterday's close. (We post Institutional charts every day on our paid subscriber sites.)

This chart shows the movement of Institutional core holdings going back to 2003.

1. What is clear, is that the Institutional Index moved in a Bullish up channel from 2003 through 2007.
2. Then, in January, the Index fell through the bottom of the channel's support.
3. It then hit dropped until it hit a support line, and rose back up to the resistance on the lower channel.

Since that time, the index failed to the downside, retested the lower support and failed again. It is now below that important support line. Until the Institutional index reverses its trend to the upside, investors would be smart to not play the long side of the market. If preservation of capital means anything to you, follow the trend and direction of Institutional activity.

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Marty Chenard
StockTiming.com
Asheville, NC 28805
Tel: 828-296-1200

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Copyright © 2006-2008 Marty Chenard

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