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1/18/2009 3:31:23 PM
The next move up in the markets could be substantial.

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trade/portfolio - Issued as dictated by market action.
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Stock Barometer Analysis
The barometer remains in Buy Support Mode as the markets have bounced off
support, forming a spring following options expiration and ahead of the holiday
and inauguration.
The Stock Barometer is my proprietary market timing system. The direction,
slope and level of the Stock Barometer determine our outlook. For example,
if the barometer line is moving down, we are in Sell Mode. A Buy or Sell
Signal is triggered when the indicator clearly changes direction. Trend
and support can override the barometer signals.
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Stock Barometer Cycle Time
Monday's a holiday, so Tuesday will be day 36 in our Up Cycle. As a heads
up, these up cycles are for the barometer SIGNALS - so when the barometer goes
lower and we remain in Buy Mode, we also remain in an UP Cycle.
The Stock Barometer signals follow 5, 8, 13, 21 and sometimes 34 day Fibonacci
cycles that balance with 'normal' market cycles. Knowing where you are in
the current market cycle is important in deciding how long you expect to
maintain a position.
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Potential Cycle Reversal Dates
2009 Potential Reversal Dates: 1/20, 2/11. We publish these dates up to
2 months in advance.
Looking at 1/20 as marking a bottom. That said, there are those in the camp
that this will represent a top (I get lots of emails). This suggests the crowd
will be wrong.
My Additional timing work is based on numerous cycles and has resulted
in the above potential reversal dates. These are not to be confused with
the barometer signals or cycle times. However, due to their past accuracy
I post the dates here.
2008 Potential Reversal Dates: 12/31, 1/11, 2/1, 2/13, 3/6, 4/5, 4/22,
5/23, 6/6, 6/27, 7/13, 9/2, 10/3, 10/22, 11/10, 12/11. 2007 Potential Reversal
Dates: 1/10, 1/14, 1/27, 1/31, 2/3, 2/17, 3/10, 3/24, 4/21, 5/6, 6/15, 8/29,
10/19, 11/29, 12/13, 12/23, 12/31, 1/11/08. 2006 potential reversal dates:
1/16, 1/30, 2/25, 3/19, 4/8, 5/8, 5/19, 6/6(20), 7/24, 8/20, 8/29, 9/15,
10/11, 11/28. 2005 Potential reversal dates: 12/27, 1/25, 2/16, 3/4, 3/14,
3/29, 4/5, 4/19, 5/2, 6/3, 6/10, 7/13, 7/28, 8/12, 8/30-31, 9/22, 10/4, 11/15,
11/20, 12/16.
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Use the following spread/momentum indicators to assist in your trading
of the QQQQ, GLD, USD, USO and TLT. They are tuned to deliver signals in
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overall outlook for the market and for pinpointing market reversals.
The level, direction, and position to the zero line are keys in these indicators.
For example, direction determines mode and a buy signal 'above zero' is more
bullish than a buy signal 'below zero'.
QQQQ Spread Indicator (NASDAQ:QQQQ)

The QQQQ Spread Indicator will yield its own buy and sell signals that
may be different from the Stock Barometer. It's meant to give us an idea
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Supporting Secondary Indicator

We daily monitor hundreds of popular and proprietary technical indicators
that break down market internals, sentiment and money flow to give us unique
insight into the market. We feature at least one here each day in support
of our current outlook.
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Summary of Daily Outlook
We remain in Buy Mode, looking for the markets to rally into 2/11. This should
be a pretty decent rally as the market is doing both technically and on a sentiment
basis what it needs to, to support an uptrend.
I'll leave you with a chart to mull over from our options service, which is
making some 'call bets' this week...

If you have any questions or comments, email me at Jay@stockbarometer.com.
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Regards,
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