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January 31, 2009 Signal Time |
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1/31/2009 9:51:25 AM To ensure delivery and prevent this e-mail from being delivered to your bulk mail folder, please add our 'From' e-mail address, info@stockbarometer.com, to your address book or preferred sender list. If you are receiving our newsletter on a trial, you can read all past articles by clicking here and signing in. If you can't recall your username/password, you can email us at customersupport@stockbarometer.com. If you are interested in continuing following your trial, click here to subscribe. Here's how we see the next two weeks playing out.
Explosive Stock Alert Stock Barometer Analysis We have a Sell Signal, placing us in Sell Mode. The Stock Barometer is my proprietary market timing system. The direction, slope and level of the Stock Barometer determine our outlook. For example, if the barometer line is moving down, we are in Sell Mode. A Buy or Sell Signal is triggered when the indicator clearly changes direction. Trend and support can override the barometer signals. Day Trading Edge - with Paul
Soo Stock Barometer Cycle Time Monday is day 1 in our Down Cycle. The Stock Barometer signals follow 5, 8, 13, 21 and sometimes 34 day Fibonacci cycles that balance with 'normal' market cycles. Knowing where you are in the current market cycle is important in deciding how long you expect to maintain a position. The Advantage Report - with
Angelo Campione Potential Cycle Reversal Dates 2009 Potential Reversal Dates: 1/20, 2/11, 3/7, 3/15. We publish these dates up to 2 months in advance. We're now looking for the markets to move lower into 2/11. We've also added two more dates to plan your future trades. My Additional timing work is based on numerous cycles and has resulted in the above potential reversal dates. These are not to be confused with the barometer signals or cycle times. However, due to their past accuracy I post the dates here. 2008 Potential Reversal Dates: 12/31, 1/11, 2/1, 2/13, 3/6, 4/5, 4/22, 5/23, 6/6, 6/27, 7/13, 9/2, 10/3, 10/22, 11/10, 12/11. 2007 Potential Reversal Dates: 1/10, 1/14, 1/27, 1/31, 2/3, 2/17, 3/10, 3/24, 4/21, 5/6, 6/15, 8/29, 10/19, 11/29, 12/13, 12/23, 12/31, 1/11/08. 2006 potential reversal dates: 1/16, 1/30, 2/25, 3/19, 4/8, 5/8, 5/19, 6/6(20), 7/24, 8/20, 8/29, 9/15, 10/11, 11/28. 2005 Potential reversal dates: 12/27, 1/25, 2/16, 3/4, 3/14, 3/29, 4/5, 4/19, 5/2, 6/3, 6/10, 7/13, 7/28, 8/12, 8/30-31, 9/22, 10/4, 11/15, 11/20, 12/16. Patrice V. Johnson's - J.E.D.I.
Trader Spread Indicators Use the following spread/momentum indicators to assist in your trading of the QQQQ, GLD, USD, USO and TLT. They are tuned to deliver signals in line with the Stock Barometer and we use them only in determining our overall outlook for the market and for pinpointing market reversals. The level, direction, and position to the zero line are keys in these indicators. For example, direction determines mode and a buy signal 'above zero' is more bullish than a buy signal 'below zero'. QQQQ Spread Indicator (NASDAQ:QQQQ)
The QQQQ Spread Indicator will yield its own buy and sell signals that may be different from the Stock Barometer. It's meant to give us an idea of the next turn in the market. Lynn T's 1-2-3 PLUS Alert Gold Spread Indicator (AMEX:GLD)
Want to trade Gold? Use our signals with the Gold ETF AMEX:GLD. Gold gives us a general gage to the overall health of the US Economy and the markets. Bill West's Fat Pitch ETF Advisory US Dollar Index Spread Indicator (INDEX:DXY)
Want to trade the US Dollar? Use our signals with the Power Shares AMEX:UUP: US Dollar Index Bullish Fund and AMEX:UDN: US Dollar Index Bearish Fund. The McMillan Portfolio ($18.95/Month) Bonds Spread Indicator (AMEX:TLT)
Want to trade Bonds? Use our signals with Lehman's 20 year ETF AMEX:TLT. The direction of bonds has an impact on the stock market. Normally, as bonds go down, stocks will go up and as bonds go up, stocks will go down. Stock Options Speculator OIL Spread Indicator (AMEX:USO)
Want to trade OIL? Use our signals with AMEX:USO, the OIL ETF. We look at the price of oil as its level and direction has an impact on the stock market. Angelo Campione's Advantage
Credit Spreads ($49.95/month) Supporting Secondary Indicator
We daily monitor hundreds of popular and proprietary technical indicators that break down market internals, sentiment and money flow to give us unique insight into the market. We feature at least one here each day in support of our current outlook. The McMillan Letter ($8.95/Month) Summary of Daily Outlook We have a Sell Signal, placing us in Sell Mode. We are looking for the markets to move lower into 2/11. The above chart of the equity put call ratio shows the complacency in the market. Too bullish to support a continuation of any rally, so these last two days of selling are likely to continue - although in the short term (i.e. Monday) there could be a bounce, which I always prefer since it will get us out of our positions in a little better position. Here's a chart of the Qs which show my view of how this retest will play out. The good news is that if we do the retest now, there's less of a need to do it later in the year. I still see a move higher following the retest, but I'll continue to focus only on the next move, and not one later on in the year.
The blue lines on the chart are new - I've added them to show where we entered our Q position (the lower blue line, since we enter at the open) and our Rydex position, since we enter that position on the close. These serve as a reality check as we don't want our losses to get away from us. The issue with this last trade was poor entry and lack of follow through following the trade (in hindsight). Obviously best case scenario is the market moves sharply in one direction following the call, but a sideways move is what we got, with some choppy moves higher and then lower. A better entry would have allowed us to react better to following moves to try and grab some profits from the short term moves. If you have any questions or comments, email me at Jay@stockbarometer.com. Stock Barometer Premier Membership Earn Money referring us to your friends, family and other traders. Click here for details. Regards,
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Jay DeVincentis
Patrice V. Johnson's - J.E.D.I. Trader Explosive Stock Trader Stock Options Speculator Angelo Campione's Advantage Credit Spreads Lynn T's 1-2-3 PLUS Alert ETF Advisor Fundamental Trader Alert Daily Stock Barometer QQQQ Trader and Rydex Trader: issued by 10pm in the evening when the Barometer system issues a Buy or Sell Signal. Stock Barometer Premier Membership Click Here to visit our subscribe page learn more about any of our services. Earn Money referring us to your friends, family and other traders. Click here for details: http://www.stockbarometer.com/affiliate.aspx To ensure delivery and prevent this e-mail from being delivered to your bulk mail folder, please add our 'From' e-mail address, info@stockbarometer.com, to your address book. Important Disclosure Futures, Options, Mutual Fund, ETF and Equity trading have large potential rewards, but also large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don't trade with money you can't afford to lose. This is neither a solicitation nor an offer to buy/sell Futures, Options, Mutual Funds or Equities. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this Web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results. Performance results are hypothetical. Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain inherent limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not actually been executed, the results may have under- or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as a lack of liquidity. Simulated trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Investment Research Group and all individuals affiliated with Investment Research Group assume no responsibilities for your trading and investment results. Investment Research Group (IRG), as a publisher of a financial newsletter of general and regular circulation, cannot tender individual investment advice. Only a registered broker or investment adviser may advise you individually on the suitability and performance of your portfolio or specific investments. In making any investment decision, you will rely solely on your own review and examination of the fact and records relating to such investments. Past performance of our recommendations is not an indication of future performance. The publisher shall have no liability of whatever nature in respect of any claims, damages, loss, or expense arising out of or in connection with the reliance by you on the contents of our Web site, any promotion, published material, alert, or update. For a complete understanding of the risks associated with trading, see our Risk Disclosure. Copyright © 2004-2009 Investment Research
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