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4/4/2009 9:21:46 AM
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Stock Barometer Analysis
The barometer remains in Buy Mode, moving higher.
The Stock Barometer is my proprietary market timing system. The direction,
slope and level of the Stock Barometer determine our outlook. For example,
if the barometer line is moving down, we are in Sell Mode. A Buy or Sell
Signal is triggered when the indicator clearly changes direction. Trend
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Potential Cycle Reversal Dates
2009 Potential Reversal Dates: 1/20, 2/11, 3/7, 3/15, 4/8, 4/16, 4/27.
We publish these dates up to 2 months in advance.
Looking for a move higher into 4/8 and a retracement into 4/16 and a push
higher into 4/27.
My Additional timing work is based on numerous cycles and has resulted
in the above potential reversal dates. These are not to be confused with
the barometer signals or cycle times. However, due to their past accuracy
I post the dates here.
2008 Potential Reversal Dates: 12/31, 1/11, 2/1, 2/13, 3/6, 4/5, 4/22,
5/23, 6/6, 6/27, 7/13, 9/2, 10/3, 10/22, 11/10, 12/11. 2007 Potential Reversal
Dates: 1/10, 1/14, 1/27, 1/31, 2/3, 2/17, 3/10, 3/24, 4/21, 5/6, 6/15, 8/29,
10/19, 11/29, 12/13, 12/23, 12/31, 1/11/08. 2006 potential reversal dates:
1/16, 1/30, 2/25, 3/19, 4/8, 5/8, 5/19, 6/6(20), 7/24, 8/20, 8/29, 9/15,
10/11, 11/28. 2005 Potential reversal dates: 12/27, 1/25, 2/16, 3/4, 3/14,
3/29, 4/5, 4/19, 5/2, 6/3, 6/10, 7/13, 7/28, 8/12, 8/30-31, 9/22, 10/4, 11/15,
11/20, 12/16.
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Summary of Daily Outlook
We remain in Buy Mode, looking for the market to move higher into 4/8 and
retrace into 4/16, before a larger move higher into 4/27. When we have key
reversal dates that are close to each other, they can lead to retesting and
consolidation.
April may be an interesting month with a larger consolidation - but at the
end of the day, I'm looking at something like what occurred in March of 2003,
prior to a very large rally that lasted some time. So in as much as I'd love
to see the market keep cranking here, it'd actually be better to see a larger
retracement.
I'm thinking we may book some profits here - since our last Buy Signal has
produced over 30% (Using Rydex Velocity or Qs on Margin). That's a pretty large
gain - even for my system.
As for the system, there are certain market conditions that it will perform
well in. You never know when those conditions will come, so it's good to take
them when they come.
If you have any questions or comments, email me at Jay@stockbarometer.com.
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