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"Crony capitalism" is a term often applied to foreign nations where government
interference circumvents market forces. The practice is widely associated with
tin-pot dictators and second-rate economies. In such a system, support for
the ruling regime is the best and only path to economic success. Who you know
supersedes what you know, and favoritism trumps the rule of law. Unfortunately,
this week's events demonstrate that the phrase now more aptly describes our
own country.
On Monday, the Supreme Court refused to hear an appeal from Chrysler's secured
creditors based on the government's argument that the needs of other stakeholders
outweighed those of a few creditors. In this case, the Administration concluded
the interests of the United Auto Workers outweighed the interests of the Indiana
teachers and firemen whose pension fund sued to block the restructuring. Given
the enormous financial support that the UAW poured into the Obama campaign,
such partiality is hardly surprising.
When making their investment in Chrysler just a few months ago, the Indiana
pension fund agreed to commit capital because of the specific assurances received
from the company. In allowing this sham bankruptcy to be crammed through the
courts, we have shredded the vital principal of the rule of law, and have become
a nation of men, rather than one of laws.
The risk that legal contracts can now be arbitrarily set aside will make investors
think twice before committing capital to distressed corporations. Oftentimes
enforcing contracts imposes hardships. That's precisely why we have contracts.
Without absolute faith that deals will be honored, it will be extremely difficult
for U.S. companies to borrow money. This will be particularly true for those
companies already struggling with too much debt. Without the ability to issue
secured debt, how will such companies access the necessary capital to turn
around? If secured creditors cannot count on the courts to enforce their claims,
they will not put their capital at risk. What good is being a secured creditor
if courts can allow the assets securing your claim to be sold for the benefit
of others?
Another problem with the government imposing losses on secured Chrysler creditors
is that in its bailouts of financial companies (like Citigroup and AIG), the
government took steps to specifically pay back creditors, even when those creditors
should have been wiped out. This inconsistency and lack of equal protection
further undermines faith in our economy.
The message here is clear: loan money to financial entities with friends in
Washington and no matter how risky the loan, taxpayers will bail you out if
it goes bad. However, loan money to a unionized manufacturer, even if prudently
secured by real assets, and you have as much chance of getting your money back
as finding Jimmy Hoffa's body.
As if this wasn't bad enough, testimony on Thursday from former Bank of America
CEO Ken Lewis revealed a concerted effort on the part of Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke
and former Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson to pressure Lewis into hiding relevant
financial information regarding Merrill Lynch losses from B of A shareholders.
Recently released e-mails make it clear that the government threatened to remove
corporate leaders if they failed to go through with the merger and keep quiet
about the losses.
Again, the justification for the interference seemed to be the "greater economic
good" the merger would serve. The right of B of A shareholders to be informed
that their company was about to buy a financial black hole was clearly considered
to be an acceptable sacrifice.
More importantly, the fact that two of the highest-ranking government officials
can conspire to violate both securities laws and private property rights is
abhorrent to everything America supposedly stands for. If they get away with
it, which I believe they will, the precedent and the message will be chilling.
As a broker who specializes in foreign investments, I am always wary of political
risk. I must consider how the threat of arbitrary government action could undermine
the value of my investments. However, recent events show that political risk
is now greater here than abroad, and U.S. assets, which have historically traded
at premium valuations based on faith in our legal system, will soon trade at
discounts to reflect this new threat. The fear of having contracts abrogated
or property rights violated when doing so serves some contrived greater good
will substantially raise our cost of capital and further reduce our competitiveness.
For a more in depth analysis of our financial problems and the inherent dangers
they pose for the U.S. economy and U.S. dollar, read my just released book "The
Little Book of Bull Moves in Bear Markets." Click here to
order your copy now.
For a look back at how I predicted our current problems read my 2007 bestseller "Crash
Proof: How to Profit from the Coming Economic Collapse." Click here to
order a copy today.
More importantly, don't wait for reality to set in. Protect your wealth and
preserve your purchasing power before it's too late. Discover the best way
to buy gold at www.goldyoucanfold.com.
Download Euro Pacific's free Special Report, "Peter Schiff's Five Favorite
Investment Choices for the Next Five Years", at http://www.europac.net/reports.asp.
Subscribe to our free, on-line investment newsletter, "The Global Investor" at http://www.europac.net/newsletter/newsletter.asp.
And now watch the latest episode of Peter's new video blog, The Schiff Report,
at http://www.europac.net/videoblog.asp.
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