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There
are those of you, whom I call "the overwhelming majority", who are dissatisfied
with my snotty-and-unshakable attitude about the price of oil, which I confidently
predict will go up in price, a Fearless Mogambo Forecast (FMF) based on many,
many things, the most important of which is the fact that I am a recklessly
arrogant hothead who, unfortunately, is not as smart as he thinks, but who
endearingly admits that he is so lazy and confident in his prediction that
he will not even get up off of his Fat Lazy Butt (FLB) to do any research at
all on the subject because of all the sheer freaking tonnage of stuff I have
read over the last half century, the distillation of which is such that I can
report that I have never, ever seen two - count 'em, two! - things.
The first thing is that I have never seen a photograph of a beautiful girl,
especially ones in swimsuits, that did not have that sultry "come hither" look
in her eyes that clearly said, "I am burning up with passion for you, my Hot
Mogambo Stud (HMS)!"
The other thing that I have never read is an explanation of why it is that
all the hot babes in the photographs want me so much that you can actually
almost see them panting, burning some raw, primal lust, their glistening porcelain
bosoms heaving as an inner, unquenchable fire rages up from their inflamed
loins until it consumes their last pretenses to civilized behavior, unleashing
primal, sweaty, raw animal instincts, but in real life they always say things
like, "Ewww! This creepy old guy is hitting on me!"
Okay, I admit that was not supposed to be the "other thing" that I had learned,
but you can see how it has left me scarred and pitiful, which is another story
for another time, because I was planning on, at this point in the essay, referring
to the difficulty in locating One Lousy Example (OLE) in all of history of
a valuable, necessary commodity (like oil) going down in price when the currency
in which it was denominated (the dollar) was being devalued by massive overproduction
of money and credit.
And, if you are a real Junior Mogambo Ranger (JMR), then you know that we
are talking about the fiat dollar price of a precious, necessary commodity
with real intrinsic value, that exists in limited supply (thanks to the sheer
limitations of infrastructure, which is not to mention Peak Oil), denominated
in a wildly inflating currency, which makes your mind go, "Whoa, dude! This
does not sound like lower prices to me! How can I get a piece of this coming
price-rise action in oil so that I can, hopefully, make enough of the Big,
Big Money (BBM) to quit my lousy job and get the hell out of this stupid little
town, to start life over in a new town, with a new name, a new haircut and
some snazzy clothes!"
Nevertheless, there are, believe it or not, those who are actually envisioning
a day of oil selling for as low as around $20 per barrel, which is less than
the cost of production which, if true, would mean it was suddenly possible
to "lose money on every sale, but make it up on volume", probably having something
to do with derivatives or something, I guess, whereas little guys like me get
fired when our stubbornly insisting on producing at a loss almost drives our
employer out of business, whereupon I lose everything and everyone is looking
at me like it is all my fault or something.
This brings us Junior Mogambo Ranger (JMR) Phil S., who sent a short essay
by Dr. Adrian Rogers (1931-2005), who famously said, "You cannot multiply wealth
by dividing it", which stems from his observation that, "You cannot legislate
the poor into freedom by legislating the wealthy out of freedom. What one person
receives without working for, another person must work for without receiving" since "The
government cannot give to anybody anything that the government does not first
take from someone else."
Well, that got me thinking that with the "dumbing down" of scholastics in
general and economics in particular to the point where laughable academic economists
are suggesting "negative interest rates" as a monetary policy. Considering
that ridiculous development in theoretical economics, maybe it is also now
considered possible to multiply wealth by dividing it, if only you try hard
enough and the Federal Reserve creates the money! Hahaha!
And I sincerely wish these folks well, since it implies that it IS possible
to eat as much as you want and never gain an ounce of weight!
Until them, eat right, exercise moderately, and buy gold, silver and oil,
because while the first two are relatively useless except to insure that you'll
be skinny when you die, the last three will ensure that you will be fat and
happy when you die after they go zooming up in price because the dollar's buying
power is being debased by a dirtbag Leftist social-welfare country wildly over-spending
by issuing debt and creating those mountains of fiat currency to pay for it!
Hahaha!
Whee! Gold silver and oil! This investing stuff is easy!
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