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Our original article was published on September 27, 2005 and with the recent
explosion in the mining stocks and warrants we thought it timely to revisit
our original article as many new investors are now becoming aware of the precious
metals stocks and their potential with the news that gold has broken into 25
years highs.
We realize each day that many investors, the investment community and many,
if not all of the investment newsletters and analysis are not educated on the
subject of warrants. Therefore, our mission, so to speak, has become one of
educating the world on this exciting investment vehicle thought our articles.
More background on investing in the precious metals stocks and/or warrants
for U.S. investors:
A substantial number of the precious metals stocks and warrants are Canadian
based companies and therefore an investment therein by U.S. investors has yielded
(and we believe will continue to yield) gains on two fronts, as a "Currency
Play" on the U.S. Dollar and also the capital gain potential on
the rise in the price of the stocks or warrants. Remember, when you invest
in the Canadian stocks or warrants, you are now making an investment out of
the U.S. Dollar and into the Canadian Dollar. The Canadian Dollar has recently
proven to be one of the strongest currencies in the world, perhaps due to the
large natural resources in Canadian both in the commodity sector and in the
energy sector.

(Beautiful uptrend and currently close to highs)

(U.S. Dollar under serious long-term pressure)
We understand that many U.S. investors are not aware of the implications (as
yet) as to the effects of the value of the U.S. Dollar on their investments.
For those investors living outside of the United States, the "Currency Effect" is
very simple. These investors deal with currency translations on a daily basis
and seem to have a better grasp and understanding of the "Currency Effect" on
their investment decisions. It is important for all investors to understand
this concept and the effects the currency in which you are invested will affect
your investment outcome.
Now let us get back to our main subject, Why Warrants? - Why Now?
So exactly what is a warrant?
Most investors are familiar with options on stocks, calls and puts, right?
I, like many of you, realize this is a very dangerous game for most investors.
An option gives you the right, not the obligation, to acquire the underlying
security/stock at a specific price and expiring at a specific date in the future.
However, options are very short term, usually 30 - 90 days, so you have to
be not only correct with respect to your timing but also with respect to the
direction of the stock market. Perhaps you are a better market timer than I
but it does not work out well for most investors.
A warrant is very similar to an option but with one major difference, TIME!
Warrants are usually issued with a minimum of 2 years to 5 years of life.
This means we as investors have the right to acquire the underlying stock
at a specific price (determined by the company) and expiring at a specific
date in the future. Warrants are usually issued by companies in connection
with a financial arrangement and/or public offering and are a "kicker" to sweeten
the deal. As investors in warrants our objective is to only trade the warrants
with no intention of ever exercising them.
Warrants are all about Leverage . Leverage is why an investor should
be interested in warrants. If your favorite mining stock has a warrant trading
you should take a serious look to see if they fit your investment criteria
which means "how long does the warrant have until expiration and does it provide
good leverage?" It is not always easy to find all the facts on the warrants
for some companies but you should always do your homework.
What does leverage mean? Leverage means getting the maximum return
with the least amount of your investment capital at risk.
Without mentioning any specific names, let's illustrate why warrants can be
very profitable. One large gold company trading on the TSX and the American
Exchange has two warrants which trade on the TSX. The most recent warrant issued
has an exercise price of C$12.10 and expires on 7-January-2008.
Closing price of the common stock |
(13-Jan-2006) |
C$12.50 |
Closing price of the warrant |
(13-Jan-2006) |
C$ 3.74 |
Say you were interested in buying 1,000 shares of the common stock which would
cost you C$12,500. You could instead purchase 1,000 warrants at C$3.74 for
a total cost of C$3,740.
Cost of the common stock (1,000 shares) |
C$12,500 |
Cost of the warrants (1,000) |
(C$ 3,740) |

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Your savings |
C$ 8,760 |
Now you control the same 1,000 shares and have saved a lot of money.
Not only do you save money, if the common stock goes to say C$25 (a return
of 100%), the warrant will be worth at least C$12.90 or a total of C$12,900
on your investment of C$3,740, reflecting an incredible return of 245%. Leverage
is therefore, 2.45:1 over the common stock.
This means will make 2.45 times MORE by investing in the warrants of this
company.
What if, instead of buying 1,000 shares of the common stock you invested the
entire amount in the warrants; you could actually purchase 3,342 warrants for
the same total cost of C$12,500. Again, if we get a move in the common stock
to C$25 (a 100% return), the warrants will be worth at least C$12.90 or a total
of C$43,111 (3,342 wts @ C$12.90), for a return of 245%. The same leverage
as above of 2.45:1.
This is not rocket science by any means; you just have to do the math.
With spot Gold currently at $554.00 as I write this article, many analysts
believe we have broken out and are looking for $600 - $900 gold by years-end.
There can be little doubt that eventually all mining shares will be in a rip
roaring bull market. An investor should consider all the ways to participate
in this bull market including adding warrants to their portfolio. All we ask
is, "Why not attempt to maximize your investment returns?"
Of course, warrants do not come without some risk. If the underlying stock
is trading below exercise price on the expiration date, the warrant will be
worthless which is why we strongly recommend that investors focus on warrants
that have a remaining life of at least 2 years.
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