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Last Sunday evening, being bored out of my mind, I began analyzing the stock
and index recommendations of each of the 9 newsletters I subscribe to - ones
you would recognize as the biggest, the best and the most respected in the
industry - for an insight into their opinions and current analyses of where
the markets are and where they are going although not necessarily for their
stock recommendations. I had a 'gut' feeling which one's had recommended
what but was totally surprised by what I discovered.
Believe it or not, there were a total of 271 different stocks or indices recommended.
Even I was shocked at this number. Only 9 Services but a total of 271 recommendations,
Wow!
Personally, I own about 100 different stocks - shares of mining and energy
companies (uranium and oil & gas) including numerous long-term warrants
- but 'only' 45 of their collective 271 recommendations. I immediately wondered
where in the world I got the information or courage to buy the other 55 companies
in my portfolio. Well, it's a long story as I am frequently a 'gun-slinger'
with respect to some of my personal investments (which I would never recommend
to others but which normally work out extremely well for me) as I am in a position
to accept a larger risk - no wife, house paid for, no debt, no problems, well,
life is good! I attempt to reduce my risk by diversifying into many different
companies.
But back to the analysis;
Does the Average Investor Stand a Chance?
If you subscribe to these same 9 investment Services, what do you do? How
do you limit the recommendations to a reasonable number of stocks to purchase?
I am guessing here that the average investor may own a minimum of 10 and maximum
of 20 stocks or warrants. So, if you only followed the individual recommendations
of these 9 Services, you would have to eliminate approximately 250 of their
recommendations. Quite a task!
What I did next was to look at those specific companies which were recommended
by more than one newsletter. As you might guess, Goldcorp was recommended by
6 of the 9 newsletters.
The analysis reflects the following: |
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# Analysts Recommending |
1 |
company (Goldcorp) |
6 |
3 |
companies |
5 |
2 |
companies |
4 |
10 |
companies |
3 |
39 |
companies |
2 |
216 |
companies |
1 |
271 |
Total Recommendations |
If you subscribe to all 9 of these Services, you could limit your investments
to those 16 companies which were recommended by 3 or more analysts or perhaps
consider call options, LEAPS or long-term warrants on those recommendations.
Unfortunately, the remaining 255 recommendations which have only 1 or 2 analysts
recommending the stocks or indices would require one heck of a lot of work
on your part or pure faith in the newsletters. /p>
Does the Average Investor Stand a Chance? Definitely! In my
opinion, all investors should be prepared to participate in the decision process
as to which specific stocks, indices, warrants, etc to purchase. Those investors
spending the time and additional analysis will be richly rewarded as this bull
market in the precious metals and energy sector surges forward.
Patience, due diligence and timing our entry points, we confidently believe,
will lead investors to incredible gains in the coming months.
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