Printer Friendly

eMail Article

November 12, 2007

Honest Money Gold and Silver Report: Market Wrap
by Douglas V. Gnazzo

Market Wrap

Week Ending 11/09/07

The following is a brief synopsis of the full 40 page market wrap that can be accessed on the Honest Money Gold & Silver Report Website: Honest Money Gold & Silver Report

Gold

Gold had another good week as it forged ahead $26.20 to $834.70, for a 3.24% weekly gain - its highest weekly close in 27 years.

On Thursday it closed higher at $837.50.

Intraday during the week it hit a high of $848.00. Below is gold's daily chart.

There's not much one can say about gold's powerful ascent other to comment on its awesome rise from the bottom left hand corner of the chart to the upper right hand corner: a bullish signature. One is left standing in awe of a once in a lifetime event as it unfolds before us.

SAR & OTHER INDICATORS

When any asset rises this much in a short period of time it is always left exposed to quick and violent sell offs that throw the newest riders off. To glean where this might occur from we have used the SAR indicator that measures parabolic rises and attempts to suggest from whence a correction might ensue.

Presently gold sits at $834.70; and the SAR indicator comes into play at $815.74 - $19 lower or approximately 2.5% from its current price.

This does not mean that a correction from this level will occur 100% guaranteed, or that if one does it will stick to the parameters given. It is but a signpost along the way to be aware of.

Also notice that the ROC (rate of change) indicator is starting to roll over. However, in a powerful bull market such indicators can appear for a day and the very next day's price action can wipe it off the chart.

The CCI index at the bottom of the chart is also flashing overbought readings.

Hui Index

The Hui Index had a slight gain for the week of 2.54 points to close at 441.92. Earlier in the week on Thursday and Wednesday the Hui closed above 447, so Friday's weekly close was not the highest daily close of the week. It was however, the highest weekly close the Hui has yet to make.

The chart above shows the upper Bollinger Band to be at 448, so there is a bit more to the upside if the index is so minded. Likewise, RSI is just being bumped into.

MACD and ROC are both very strong and positive. STO look like they could go either way, however, there is an ever so slight biased to the upside.

A strong looking chart, however, caution is warranted. A chart looks most bullish just before it turns bearish; and on the other hand a chart looks most bearish just before it turns bullish. Such is the nature of the beast.

GDX Index

Below is the weekly chart of the GDX Index. The chart is very strong. Price just made a new all-time high. RSI is just bumping up into the overbought level.

MACD and the histograms are very strong and well into positive territory. The rally has taken place on increasing volume - always a very good sign.

Price is starting to get extended, but still has room to run to the upside if so minded. The ROC is very strong - but is it too strong, as in not sustainable?

Many of the markets appear to be at a crossroads, where they could change direction at any time. Maybe - maybe not. We shall see in due time.

It just seems that too many people are on the same side of the boat or trade. When this takes place my contrarian nature says move to the other side dummy.

When the crowd gets wise, the wise get out. I feel much more comfortable doing the hard trade than the easy trade - but that's just me. Each to his own.

Invitation

Stop by our website and check out the complete market wrap, which covers most major markets, including stocks, bonds, currencies, commodities, and energy, with the emphasis on the precious metal markets, both physical and stocks.

There is a lot of information on gold and silver, not only from an investment point of view, but also from its position as being the mandated monetary system of our Constitution - Silver and Gold Coins as in Honest Weights and Measures.

On the main homepage are papers and articles by some of the best out there to be had. There are audio and videos on banking, the Constitution, and cutting edge news of serious interest. Many articles are archived, while others are linked.

Live time quotes on gold and silver and precious metal stocks are available, including charts for most world currencies and futures. Links to the World Bank, central banks, international monetary fund, the United Nations, and much more are offered.

There is also a live bulletin board where you can discuss the markets with people from around the world and many other resources too numerous to list.

Our gold stock portfolio with all buy and sell orders is posted for viewing. See which stocks we own, have sold, and bought most recently.

Drop by and check it out. Good luck. Good trading. Good health. And that's a wrap.

Come visit our new website: Honest Money Gold & Silver Report
And read the Open Letter to Congress

Douglas V. Gnazzo
Honest Money Gold & Silver Report

Douglas V. Gnazzo is the retired CEO of New England Renovation LLC, a historical restoration contractor that specialized in the restoration of older buildings and vintage historic landmarks. Mr. Gnazzo writes for numerous websites, and his work appears both here and abroad. Just recently, he was honored by being chosen as a Foundation Scholar for the Foundation of Monetary Education (FAME).

Disclaimer: The contents of this article represent the opinions of Douglas V. Gnazzo. Nothing contained herein is intended as investment advice or recommendations for specific investment decisions, and you should not rely on it as such. Douglas V. Gnazzo is not a registered investment advisor. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and using methods believed to be reliable, but Douglas. V. Gnazzo cannot accept responsibility for any trading losses you may incur as a result of your reliance on this analysis and will not be held liable for the consequence of reliance upon any opinion or statement contained herein or any omission. Individuals should consult with their broker and personal financial advisors before engaging in any trading activities. Do your own due diligence regarding personal investment decisions. This article may contain information that is confidential and/or protected by law. The purpose of this article is intended to be used as an educational discussion of the issues involved. Douglas V. Gnazzo is not a lawyer or a legal scholar. Information and analysis derived from the quoted sources are believed to be reliable and are offered in good faith. Only a highly trained and certified and registered legal professional should be regarded as an authority on the issues involved; and all those seeking such an authoritative opinion should do their own due diligence and seek out the advice of a legal professional. Lastly, Douglas V. Gnazzo believes that The United States of America is the greatest country on Earth, but that it can yet become greater. This article is written to help facilitate that greater becoming. God Bless America.

Douglas V. Gnazzo © 2005 - 2008
All Rights Reserved Without Prejudice

Image rendition and html coding Copyright © 2000-2008 SafeHaven.com

« BullionVault.com -- Buy gold online - quickly, safely and at low prices »
« Honest Money: A History of U.S. Gold & Silver Currency -- by Douglas V. Gnazzo »

« Opinions expressed at SafeHaven are those of the individual authors and do not necessarily represent the opinion of SafeHaven or its management. Articles are available via RSS/XML. Please visit RSSHelp for instructions. »