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January 25, 2008

Dominant Trend Remains Down
by Mike Paulenoff

In the end, investors and traders really did not want to go home long equities Friday, even after the Fed's emergency rate cut on Tuesday, which is certainly not a confidence builder. Maybe the bulls will feel a bit more confident after the weekend.

In any case, I think it is fitting for us to take a look at this week's price range in the S&P 500 and to notice that all of the action, including the post rate-cut rally, has transpired below the last week's critical breakdown plateau at 1362.50.

Although the SPX did hit a high this morning at 1368.56, it could not sustain, and closed the week more than 30 points under the break-down plateau.

In other words, despite the Wed-Fri rally, the dominant intermediate-term trend remains negative.

Mike Paulenoff
www.mptrader.com

Mike Paulenoff is author of the MPTrader.com (www.mptrader.com), a real-time diary of his technical analysis and trading alerts on ETFs covering metals, energy, equity indices, currencies, Treasuries, and specific industries and international regions.

Sign up for a free 15-day trial to Mikes ETF Trading Diary today.

Copyright © 2007-2008 Mike Paulenoff

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