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As this bull market progresses forward in the precious metals and commodities
sector, we should be ever mind full of the potential risks as we move higher.
If you are saying what bull market? We understand. The junior mining shares
have lagged greatly up till now and may continue to do so but we believe this
situation will resolve itself soon with the juniors catching up and catching
up very fast.
Let's talk about how we can manage risk in this environment. One obvious way
of managing risk is to invest less money. Invest only what you feel comfortable
with so you can still sleep at night. We would not suggest this to be the time
to sell the juniors at these low levels but you should always be reviewing
your portfolios, lightening up on those non-performers and adding to the stronger
positions.
Currently with the pull back in many of the junior's there are great companies
with production selling at small market caps and for less than $1. Why pay
the same price for a pure exploration company when you can buy a producing
company? Do some simple math as to the market capitalization of each company
that you currently own or that you are considering buying. Multiple the total
shares outstanding by the current price of the stock; this is defined as the
market capitalization. It is important to compare the market capitalization
of companies instead of just looking at the share price. In other words, one
company shares selling at $1 maybe cheaper (a better buy) than a company's
shares selling at $.50 when we look at the market capitalization. Something
you should consider in your investment analysis.
Another suggested way of managing risk would be to utilize options, leaps
or long-term warrants in your investment strategy.
Briefly, options give the holder the right but not the obligation to purchase
the underlying stock at a specific price and expiring at a specific time in
the future, usually up to 1 year in length. Leaps are exactly the same but
for a longer period of time, up to 2 years. Warrants, which are our specialty,
are slightly different. Warrants are actually issued by a company, trade similar
to the shares with a symbol and can have a life of up to 5 years.
When you hear the word warrants, do you think risk? Think again. A long-term
warrant with a remaining life of up to 5 years must be considered an investment
not speculation. With these choppy markets, if makes sense to us that the longer
life we can get the better chance we will be winners with our investments.
By utilizing options, leaps or warrants you can reduce your total capital
at risk in this bull market and heaven forbid if the juniors do not catch up
quickly, we will have less money on the table.
The markets are great at testing our convictions and investors must be confident
in their views, beliefs and arguments for the bull market in the precious metals
and commodities, or else will live in fear each day or each down turn in the
markets. Personally, we are confident the markets will reward investors beyond
our wildest dreams. But successful investors must have the strength and confidence
to stay the course.
In our subscriber service, we furnish a table of all natural resource stocks
which have options, leaps or warrants trading. Savvy investors could also use
this table as a starting point for more sophisticated strategies using warrants
and options or leaps.
For those readers desiring more information on warrants you may wish to visit www.PreciousMetalsWarrants.com where
you will find much more information and education on warrants in our new Learning
Center. You may also signup for our free weekly email, The
Warrant Report.
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