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Muni Update

ChartWorks

The following ChartWorks that was published for our subscribers May 18, 2011.


 

The two Muni ETFs we monitor continue to push higher. The MUB is no longer showing signs of a bearish divergence in the RSI(14), but has moved into the next phase of importance by generating upside Exhaustion Alerts in the past few days. The last times we saw this were into the 2009 and 2010 tops. We will view the first close back under the upper 100-day Bollinger Band (currently 102.75) as a sell signal.

MUB Chart
Larger Image

The NPI has been weaker and is only just reaching its upper 100-day Bollinger Band. This fits the observations presented in our analysis of typical action following CBS 60 Minutes business related reports ("Vive Les Nukes", "Black Gold" and "House of Cards").

NPI Chart
Larger Image

The opinions in this report are solely those of the author. The information herein was obtained from various sources; however we do not guarantee its accuracy or completeness. This research report is prepared for general circulation and is circulated for general information only. It does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and the particular needs regarding the appropriateness of investing in any securities or investment strategies discussed or recommended in this report and should understand that statements regarding future prospects may not be realized.

Investors should note that income from such securities, if any, may fluctuate and that each security's price or value may rise or fall. Accordingly, investors may receive back less than originally invested. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed constitutes an offer to buy or sell any securities or options or futures contracts. Foreign currency rates of exchange may adversely affect the value, price or income of any security or related investment mentioned in this report. In addition, investors in securities such as ADRs, whose values are influenced by the currency of the underlying security, effectively assume currency risk. Moreover, from time to time, members of the Institutional Advisors team may be long or short positions discussed in our publications.

 


Technical observations of RossClark@shaw.ca

 

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