Elliott Wave Analysis For USDCAD - Three Wave Rally

By: Gregor Horvat | Fri, Oct 25, 2013
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Canadian Dollar (Forex: USDCAD) is at new high after very sharp reversal from 1.0267 swing low. We have reworked out previous bearish Elliott wave count for USDCAD. We are tracking a new count now which still shows a three wave rise from 1.0180.

Elliott wave patterns suggest that recent move is an expanded flat correction in wave (b)/ (ii). The only question now is if current leg up is wave (c) of a three wave retracement or is it wave (iii) of a new impulsive rally that will send USDCAD much higher in days ahead. For now it's too soon to confirm any scenario but we definitely need to see a reversal down from around 1.0500 region that could be a next projected zone.

USDCAD 4h Elliott Wave Analysis Chart

USDCAD 4-Hour Elliott Wave Analysis Chart

Expanded Flat Elliott Wave Pattern

Expanded Flat has internal structure of 3-3-5 sub waves where wave B moves beyond the start of wave A. Wave C ends more substantially beyond the ending level of wave A and it appears in wave two or four in an impulse, wave B in an A-B-C, wave X in a double or triple zig-zag, or wave Y in a triple threes.


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Gregor Horvat

Author: Gregor Horvat

Gregor Horvat

Gregor Horvat

Grega is based in Slovenia and has been involved in markets since 2003. He is the owner of www.ew-forecast.com, but before that he was working for Capital Forex Group and TheLFB.com. His feature articles have been published on: SafeHaven.com, FXstreet.com, Thestreet.com, Action forex, Forex TV, Istockanalyst, ForexFactory, Fxtraders.eu, Insidefutures.com, etc. He recently won the award on FXStreet.com for Best Forex Analysis in 2016. At www.ew-forecast.com he helps clients and educate them about the Elliott wave prinicple and how to label and track unfolding patterns in real time.  His approach to the markets is mainly technical. He uses a lot of different methods when analyzing the markets such as candlestick patterns, MA, technical indicators etc. His specialty however is Elliott Wave Theory which could be very helpful especially if you know how to use it in combination with other tools/indicators.

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