• 288 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 288 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 290 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 690 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 694 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 696 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 699 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 700 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 701 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 702 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 703 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 707 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 707 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 708 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 710 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 710 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 714 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 714 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 715 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 717 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Another Big Move Up Coming in Mining Shares

Now that the first leg off the bear market bottom has been completed the mining shares have been consolidating for the last three weeks in preparation for another leg up, and I expect the second leg will be almost as powerful as the first.

As gold is now late in its daily cycle I'm looking for one more dip down into Friday's employment report to complete the short-term correction. Then I look for gold's third daily cycle to test the $1425 resistance zone over the next month.

Daily Gold Chart

Over the next few days stocks should move up to test or more likely marginally break above 1900 before settling into a consolidation as they await the next FOMC decision on March 19. As stocks settle into this consolidation phase buying pressure will move back into the commodity markets and drive gold aggressively out of the impending daily cycle low.

Daily SPX Chart versus Gold

Then when a third taper also fails to halt the slide in the dollar I look for a mini dollar panic during the second half of March that will drive a very powerful rally in commodities as they move toward an intermediate top.

Daily US Dollar Chart versus Gold and CRB Index

As gold rallies out of its impending daily cycle low, and especially during the dollar panic later this month, the mining shares should deliver a very powerful second leg up in this initial thrust out of their bear market bottom. I expect GDX will at least test the August highs, and maybe even fill one or both of last April's gaps before the intermediate cycle tops sometime in early to mid-April.

Market Vectors Gold Miners Daily Chart

I think traders need to enter initial positions before the close on Thursday, and if gold is down Friday morning after the employment report use the weakness to complete purchases as I think next week miners will break out of the consolidation zone and begin the second leg up of this brand-new bull market.

 


If you are interested in reading my daily and weekend commentary on the movement of the markets, along with accessing the changes in my portfolio positions in real-time and conversing with other investor/traders via my blog, please consider purchasing a $10 trial subscription.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment