Stock Trading Alert: Stocks Rebounded Following Recent Sell-Off, But Will It Last?

By: Paul Rejczak | Mon, Oct 20, 2014
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Stock Trading Alert originally published on October 20, 2014, 6:42 AM:


 

Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified at this moment.

Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral:

Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: neutral
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: neutral
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

The U.S. stock market indexes gained between 1.3% and 1.6% on Friday, retracing some of their last week's losses, as investors hunted bargains following relatively sharp downward correction. The S&P 500 index bounced off the support level of 1,800-1,820, marked by previous medium-term lows. On the other hand, the nearest important level of resistance is at 1,900-1,910, marked by previous support level, among others. For now, it looks like an upward correction within a short-term downtrend, as there have been no confirmed downtrend reversal signals so far:

S&P500 Daily Chart
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Expectations before the opening of today's trading session are slightly positive, with index futures currently up 0.2-0.3%. The main European stock market indexes have lost 0.8-1.0% so far. The S&P 500 futures contract (CFD) is in a short-term consolidation, as it fluctuates following Friday's move up. The nearest important resistance level is at around 1,890-1,900, marked by some previous levels of support, as we can see on the 15-minute chart:

S&P500 15-Minute Chart
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The technology Nasdaq 100 futures contract (CFD) trades along the level of 3,800, following a rebound off last week's lows. The support level is at around 3,770-3,780, among others. For now, it looks like an upward correction within a short-term downtrend, as the 15-minute chart shows:

NASDAQ 100 Futures 15-Minute Chart
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Concluding, the broad stock market bounced off sharply, following recent move down. There are still some short-term oversold conditions which may lead to an upward correction or downtrend reversal. We prefer to be out of the market at this moment, as we expect more short-term volatility. We will let you know when we think it is safe to get back in the market.

Thank you.

 


 

Paul Rejczak

Author: Paul Rejczak

Paul Rejczak
Stock Trading Strategist
Stock Trading Alerts
SunshineProfits.com

Paul Rejczak

Stock market strategist, who has been known for quality of his technical and fundamental analysis since the late nineties. He is interested in forecasting market behavior based on both traditional and innovative methods of technical analysis. Paul has made his name by developing mechanical trading systems. Paul is the author of Sunshine Profits' premium service for stock traders: Stock Trading Alerts.

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