Lindsay Forecast for the End of the Bull Market - Part II

By: Ed Carlson | Tue, May 19, 2015
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Similar to forecasting highs, the first step in forecasting a low is in applying Lindsay's 12y interval. The 12y interval stretches 12y, 2m-12y, 8m from an important high.

The next 12y interval is counted from the high in 2004 and points to a low in Apr-Oct 2016.

A decline which begins in the first half of this year will have time to fit Lindsay's rule of thumb which calls for 1yr down followed by 2yrs up; a low in 2016 followed by a high at point J in 2018.


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Point J can be higher or lower than point H. If the pattern of alternating long cycles continues (bear, bull, bear bull) the 2002 cycle should see a lower point J.

The end of the long cycle (point A/M) should be roughly 12 years from point D. It forecasts a low in late 2019 or early 2020.

 


 

Ed Carlson

Author: Ed Carlson

Ed Carlson
Seattle Technical Advisors.com

Ed Carlson

Ed Carlson, author of George Lindsay and the Art of Technical Analysis, and his new book, George Lindsay's An Aid to Timing is an independent trader, consultant, and Chartered Market Technician (CMT) based in Seattle. Carlson manages the website Seattle Technical Advisors.com, where he publishes daily and weekly commentary. He spent twenty years as a stockbroker and holds an M.B.A. from Wichita State University.

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