Raj Time and Cycles Review and Forecast: March 18 High+/-1 Day

By: Ian Thijm | Fri, Mar 18, 2016
Print Email

Review of the 2/12 blogpost on longer term Cycles: "There is a confluence in several markets, (SPX, Bonds and Crude Oil) for a February 2016 turning point that should be important to watch.

S&P500 Monthly Chart Feb 12/2016
Larger Image

2/12 Forecast 1: "The 8 Month SPX cycle due is in February 2016 +/-1 Month, suggesting an important Low is due in February 2016... We should make an important 2/12 Low+/-1."

S&P500 Monthly Chart
Larger Image

Actual: SPX bottomed at the 2/11/16 Low and have rallied a sharp 236 SP's into today's Highs.

Crude Oil Monthly Chart Feb 12, 2016
Larger Image

2/12 Forecast 2: "The Crude Oil has a monthly Apex CIT due in February 2016. As we have declined into it, it suggests a Crude Oil Low is due in February 2016"

Crude Oil Monthly Chart
Larger Image

Actual: Crude Oil bottomed at the 2/12/16 Low and have rallied a sharp $14.31 into today's Highs.

30-Year Treasury Bond Weekly Chart Feb 12, 2016
Larger Image

Forecast3: "The Bond Interest Rates has a reliable 93 week cycle Low that is due this February 12 2016 week."

30-Year Treasury Bond Weekly Chart
Larger Image

Actual: Bond market Interest Rates bottomed at the 2/11/16 Low and have rallied a sharp 3.48 Interest Rate points so far.

Conclusion: All 3 markets bottomed at exactly the same date, 2/11/16 Low+/-1.


Shorter term SPX Forecasts

Forecast: In my last public blogpost. I was looking for a 3/2-3 swing High.

Actual: We saw a 3/4 High, 1 day later and declined 39.88 SP's into 3/10 Low.

Forecast from the Friday 3/11 Daily Email: "The inverted cycle predicted the 2/11L, 2/24L and 3/4H. It now suggests a 3/11L and a rally into 3/17H+/-1. There is a 891 CD Fixed cycle due 3/17 as well"

S&P500 Daily Chart
Larger Image

Forecast from the Saturday 3/12 weekend Email: "The cycle bias is we are higher into Monday 3/21 Solar and daily Apex CIT (Change in Trend)"

S&P500 Hourly Chart
Larger Image

Actual: From the 3/10 Low, so far, we rallied 77 SP's into 3/17 High.

What's Next: We make a 3/18 High+/-1 at the next Solar CIT (Change in Trend) and start another decline to the next swing Geometric CIT Low.

 


 

Ian Thijm

Author: Ian Thijm

Ian Thijm BSc, MBA
Raj Times and Cycles

My first experience with the Stock-markets was during my MBA in August 1987, right before the 87 crash. Needless to say I fell in love with the markets and studied everything I could on Timing and Cycles in the Markets, including Gann, Bayer, Baumring, Astrology, Geometry, etc. Although I loved the markets, the markets didn't love me the 1st 7 years. Then I found a unique "Ezekiel Wheel" (Symmetry Point Cycle) based on the works of James Brock and in October 1994, I turned $5000 into over $112,000 in one month. I thought I had found the Golden Key to unlock all the market profits, but the markets again humbled me. I spent the next 7 years studying and researching various unique Time and Cycle methods. Then in June 2000, I met my Partner and I became a full time Investment Manager. Life, like Markets goes through Cycles and the next 7 years, I had the most valuable, enriching lessons in my life with Markets, People and managing Money. It was very enlightening. This brings us to the present day, where I feel the need to share and teach what I have learned and that is what this blog and website is all about. I hope it is worthwhile to you.

Copyright © 2013-2017 Ian Thijm

All Images, XHTML Renderings, and Source Code Copyright © Safehaven.com