• 288 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 288 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 290 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 690 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 694 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 696 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 699 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 700 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 701 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 702 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 703 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 707 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 707 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 708 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 710 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 710 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 714 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 714 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 715 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 717 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
The Problem With Modern Monetary Theory

The Problem With Modern Monetary Theory

Modern monetary theory has been…

Zombie Foreclosures On The Rise In The U.S.

Zombie Foreclosures On The Rise In The U.S.

During the quarter there were…

How Millennials Are Reshaping Real Estate

How Millennials Are Reshaping Real Estate

The real estate market is…

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Gold: Set To Surge On Major News

Graceland Updates 4am-7am
March 14, 2017

1. After Janet Yellen first hiked rates in late 2015, the precious metals market rallied in a big way in the first half of 2016. Please click here. Double-click to enlarge this GDX daily chart.

2. In late 2016 the Fed hiked again, but the metals market rally in 2017 has been more subdued. Why?

3. For the main answer to that question, please click here. Double-click to enlarge this dollar versus yen chart.

4. The bottom line is that the gold price has tremendous correlation to the price action of the dollar versus the yen. In 2016, the dollar collapsed against the yen. In 2017, the dollar has declined against the yen again, but only moderately.

5. Hence, the rally in gold and gold stocks has been less exciting than it was in 2016.

6. Please click here. That's a shorter term look at the dollar versus the yen.  A loose rectangle is in play, and the next big move will almost certainly be determined by key fundamental news being reported this week.

7. On Wednesday, the Fed decides whether to raise rates, and the debt ceiling (which I call a floor) comes back into focus. There's also a major election in the Netherlands. A populist win there could rock major markets. On Thursday, the Bank of Japan meets to decide its next major policy move.

8. Fundamentally, gold is well-supported, and the news this week is likely to be quite positive for gold and associated assets.

9. Please click here. I've suggested quite emphatically that in a rising interest rate environment, both gold and the dollar can rally together, and top economists at CITI are now taking note of this fact.

10. That means their institutional clients are taking note of it, which adds more support to gold. Gold bugs clearly have nothing to fear from a higher dollar, and the dollar is floundering against the yen and the Swiss franc.

11. It may also be set to tumble against another key currency. Please click here. Double-click to enlarge. After breaking a key uptrend line, the dollar seems poised to break down from a substantial double top pattern against the Indian rupee.

12. That would be good news for India's current account, and increase the already-enormous gold buying power of Indian citizens. That's because a surge in the rupee would chop the cost of gold in rupees, and Indians are obsessed with buying more gold when the price drops.

13. Please click here. Next, please click here. I've been adamant that investors need to fade the US stock market a bit (except for bank stocks which benefit from higher rates), and buy Chindian markets.

14. In a nutshell, the American empire is ending, and the Chindian empire is beginning. In the short term, the US business cycle is long in the tooth, and that's when bank stocks and gold stocks are an investor's best friend.

15. Rising rates will eventually crush the US stock market. India's central bank chief appears to be little more than a government-appointed "yes man". So, he's unlikely to raise rates, even as the US hikes aggressively.

16. That's going to create substantial institutional liquidity flows out of the US stock market and into India.

17. On that note, please click here. Double-click to enlarge this spectacular Indian stock market ETF chart for INDA-NYSE.

18. It's blasting upside from a huge inverse head and shoulders bottom pattern. It's a nice fantasy to believe that Donald Trump can cheerlead the US nation to "world leader forever" status. Horrifically, the reality of the US situation is far different from that wonderful fantasy.

19. Cheerleading works in a limited way when interest rates are low. When they rise and the yield curve inverts significantly, cheerleading doesn't work at all.

20. That's because institutional money managers don't care what the top government cheerleader says or does when the yield curve inverts as rates soar. They just sell US stocks, and they do so... as a stampeding herd.

21. If Trump doesn't renew Janet Yellen's mandate to lead the Fed and appoints a government "yes man" in her place who leaves rates low, the banks will just keep their money at the Fed and the US economy will enter a state of significant deflation.

22. Trump is also beginning to pressure Japan to push the dollar lower against the yen. It's likely a question of when, not if, Abe orders his central bank to kill the Japanese QE program. When that happens, the dollar could stage a dramatic collapse against the yen. If the dollar collapses against the yen, it will collapse in an even bigger way against gold.

23. The end of QE in Japan would create enormous liquidity flows out of government bonds and into the banking system. Inflation would surge, and Japanese citizens would be strong gold buyers and exporters of significant inflation to America.

24. Please click here. Double-click to enlarge this important gold chart. The news events this week could easily send gold to my $1180 buy zone, and then to $1220 or even $1245. I'm a very happy gold stock buyer here in the $1200 area. It represents great value for enthusiastic gold market investors!

Thanks!
Cheers
St

 


Special Offer For Website Readers: Please send me an Email to freereports4@gracelandupdates.com and I'll send you my free "Silver Sets The Standard For Gold!" report.  I cover 5 silver stocks and 5 gold stocks, and show investors why one great silver stock may hold the key to gold's next big move higher!

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment