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September 28, 2008 Update 2 Re: 30 Day Fed Funds |
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9/28/2008 5:43:43 PM Greetings, J.E.D.I. Welcome to The J.E.D.I. Way. To learn more about my Stocks, Options & Options on Futures Trading Service, click here. This e-mail is to alert you that we received a fill on the October 2008 Futures Options Spread of the 30 Day Fed Funds at our limit price of $.035 (.03 for the put option and .005 for the call option). However we did not receive a fill for the December 2008, and January 2009 Futures Options Spread on the 30 Day Fed Funds. Thus we will re-enter our order for the 30 Day Fed Funds futures options spread for December 2008 and January 2009 as follows: (1) Buy to open one (1) 30 Day Fed Funds December 2008 98.50 Call Option (Ticker Symbol: FFZ898.50C) and one (1) 30 Day Fed Funds December 2008 98.00 Put Option (Ticker Symbol: FFZ898P) at a limit price of $0.035 good for the day (.005 for the call option and .03 for the put option) (2) Buy to open one (1) 30 Day Fed Funds January 2009 98.50 Call Option (Ticker Symbol: FFF998.50C) and one (1) 30 Day Fed Funds January 2009 98 Put Option (Ticker Symbol: FFF998P) at a limit price of $0.035 good for the day (.005 for the call option and .03 for the put option) Estimated Commission: $103.92 ($25.98 for each spread/straddle order
(or $25.98x4 - October 2008, November 2008, December 2008, and January 2009)) Contract Specifications: FF, CBOT
My fellow J.E.D.I., I am expecting some volatility on the options on the 30 Day Fed Funds contracts between now and December 2008. While I do not expect the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, Ben Bernanke, to change interest rates, either up or down, between now and December 2008, I believe that the 30 Day Fed Funds will be indirectly effected by the events and activity taking place and scheduled to take place down the road. We have not seen volatility on the 30 Day Fed Funds for a while. I personally think that the 30 Day Fed Funds is long overdue for some volatility especially given the events and upcoming events. Thus I believe it is imporant to be involved in the 30 Day Fed Funds options. And the best way I believe to be involved in the 30 Day Fed Funds is by straddling the 30 Day Fed Funds Options for September 2008 (filled 9/4/08), October 2008 (filled 9/22/08), November 2008 (filled 9/23/08), December 2008 and January 2009 and future months. We have received fill for the September 2008 straddle, October 2008 Straddle and the November 2008 straddle. We will put in an order to straddle the December 2008, and January 2009 30 Day Fed Funds Options Contract as indicated above. Assuming we receive a fill for all four (4) straddles (or spread) contracts months (October 2008, November 2008, December 2008 and January 2009) on our straddle orders, if nothing happens on the 30 Day Fed Funds for these months our maximum loss on our trades is $647.44 (only if all contracts expire worthless). Those who participated in the September 2008 30 Day Fed Funds September 98 Call Option realized a gain of $658.94 on Friday, September 26, 2008 when we sold it for $.1750 after we purchased it for $.01. And has therefore covered their total cost for doing the straddles (or spreads) for the months of September 2008, October 2008, November 2008, December 2008 and January 2009 on the 30 Day Fed Funds. NOTE: The September 2008 98 Put option expires on Tuesday, September 30, 2008. Therefore in addition to doing a straddle on the 30 Day Fed Funds for the months of December 2008 and January 2009, mentioned above, we may want to make sure to close out our 30 Day Fed Funds September 2008 98.00 PUT position before it expires on Tuesday, September 30, 2008 otherwise we may get exercised into a futures position particularly if the 30 Day Fed Funds September 2008 Futures Price closes at or below 98.00 at expiration in which case we may end up getting excercised and being short one 30 Day Fed Fund September 2008 futures at 98.00. Our goal will be to exit the 30 Day Fed Funds September 2008 98 Put Option before expiration on Tuesday, September 30, 2008. Thus, we will enter an order to sell to close one (1) 30 Day Fed Funds September 2008 98 Put at a limit price of $.0125 for tomorrow, Monday, September 30, 2008. The last price for the 30 Day Fed Funds September 2008 98 Put Option was $.003. Good Luck! And may the force of volatility will be with you. Best Regards,
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Patrice V. Johnson
Important Disclosure Performance results are hypothetical. Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain inherent limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not actually been executed, the results may have under- or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as a lack of liquidity. Simulated trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Investment Research Group and all individuals affiliated with Investment Research Group assume no responsibilities for your trading and investment results. Investment Research Group (IRG), as a publisher of a financial newsletter of general and regular circulation, cannot tender individual investment advice. Only a registered broker or investment adviser may advise you individually on the suitability and performance of your portfolio or specific investments. In making any investment decision, you will rely solely on your own review and examination of the fact and records relating to such investments. Past performance of our recommendations is not an indication of future performance. The publisher shall have no liability of whatever nature in respect of any claims, damages, loss, or expense arising out of or in connection with the reliance by you on the contents of our Web site, any promotion, published material, alert, or update. For a complete understanding of the risks associated with trading, see our Risk Disclosure. Copyright © 2008-2009 Patrice V. Johnson Image rendition and html coding Copyright © 2000-2009 SafeHaven.com ADVERTISEMENTS
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