• 315 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 315 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 317 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 716 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 721 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 723 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 726 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 726 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 727 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 729 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 729 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 733 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 734 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 734 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 737 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 737 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 740 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 741 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 741 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 743 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
Market Sentiment At Its Lowest In 10 Months

Market Sentiment At Its Lowest In 10 Months

Stocks sold off last week…

Is The Bull Market On Its Last Legs?

Is The Bull Market On Its Last Legs?

This aging bull market may…

The Problem With Modern Monetary Theory

The Problem With Modern Monetary Theory

Modern monetary theory has been…

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Impending Volatility As The Market Spirals

The fear of higher interest rates triggered adjustments in the markets overnight. This week the Treasury will auction a record $104 billion in notes. This huge amount of supply hitting the market is expected to help push yields higher.

Foreign currency traders bought the Dollar because of expectations of higher interest rates. This is basically a case of traders seeking a higher yield and not based on any economic news or expectation. Some traders are dumping more risky assets and buying the Dollar for safety. Others are position-evening ahead of the FOMC meeting on June 24th.

Traders also bought the Dollar on the thought that the global economic recovery would occur at a much slower pace than originally anticipated. Because of this change in sentiment, some investors found it easier to liquidate positions in the foreign currency markets rather than wait until actual reports confirm this conclusion.

The weakness in the Euro is an indication that this market may be getting ready to break further. Last week's rally could not take out a swing top at 1.4177 and even failed to reach a key 50% level at 1.4013. Look for lower markets to push this currency to 1.3610 over the near term

The inside range in the British Pound is an indication of impending volatility. Based on the developing lower top formation, this market seems poised to challenge the last main bottom at 1.5810 over the near term. Losses will be limited, however, until this market fails to hold at a retracement zone at 1.6211 and 1.6114.

Weaker commodity and equity prices drove the USD CAD sharply higher. The higher-top, higher-bottom formation indicates more strength to follow. Breaking through a minor retracement level at 1.1419 helped accelerate this market higher and put it in a position to challenge the next key retracement level at 1.1922 to 1.2191.

The USD JPY fell as weak equity markets encouraged Japanese investors to repatriate funds out of fear of losing on their investments. Currently, the main trend is up, but the charts indicate no threat to the main trend unless 94.47 is violated. Currently, this market is trapped inside of a retracement range at .96.36 to 95.77. The longer this market stays inside of this range the greater the move.

The USD CHF closed higher on Monday. Today's positive performance has put this market in a position to challenge the last Main Top at 1.0955. A retracement zone at 1.0788 to 1.0741 is also holding up this contract. The lower-top, higher-bottom formation indicates impending volatility as this market is spiraling to a point where the trade can get explosive.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment