• 308 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 309 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 310 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 710 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 715 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 717 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 720 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 720 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 721 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 723 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 723 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 727 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 727 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 728 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 730 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 731 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 734 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 735 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 735 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 737 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
The Problem With Modern Monetary Theory

The Problem With Modern Monetary Theory

Modern monetary theory has been…

Is The Bull Market On Its Last Legs?

Is The Bull Market On Its Last Legs?

This aging bull market may…

What's Behind The Global EV Sales Slowdown?

What's Behind The Global EV Sales Slowdown?

An economic slowdown in many…

Ian Campbell

Ian Campbell

Through his www.BusinessTransitionSimplified.com website and his Business Transition & Valuation Review newsletter Ian R. Campbell shares his perspectives on business transition, business valuation and world…

Contact Author

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

China Banking Camel In U.S. Tent?

Why read: You should know about this - Chinese banks entry into U.S. bankingcould prove to be important.

A May 9 article reported that the U.S. Federal Reserve has agreed to let three Chinese government controlled banks set up U.S. branches and invest in U.S. banks. The piece references U.S. Federal Reserve statements that:

  • the 71% Chinese Government owned Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (China's biggest bank with assets estimated at U.S.$2.5 trillion) will become a bank holding company;
  • China Investment Corporation (CIC), an investment vehicle responsible for investing the Chinese Governments foreign exchange reserves, and CIC controlled Huijin Investment will become bank holding companies;
  • these three Chinese entities (either individually or in some combination) will be allowed to take control of New York based Bank of East Asia;
  • the Federal Reserve has concurrently approved:
    • the Bank of China (China's third largest bank, and 71% owned by the Chinese Government) to set up a branch in Chicago in circumstances where that bank currently has branches in Los Angeles and New York, and
    • the Agricultural Bank of China (China's fourth largest bank with assets reported to be U.S.$1.85 trillion, and 83% owned by the Chinese Government) to set up a branch in New York.

The referenced article, typical of many, simply reports on these U.S. Federal Reserve decisions. It is the only article of over 2,500 overviewed in the past two days that makes mention of these decisions.

Consider the implications of these Federal Reserve decisions in the context of the proverbial 'Camel in the Tent'. The question now is not whether the Camel is in the tent, the question is only whether, when, and over how long a period of time it will take the powerful Camel, whose head (the part it thinks with) is now in the tent, to take the tent over.

Further comments and some possible consequences:

  • in theory this is simply a further extension and maturation of globalization, a road the world has been on for at least twenty-five years;
  • not immediately, but over time if (or more likely 'as') Chinese banks build larger bases in the U.S., this has to impact U.S. protectionism policies with respect to tariff and trade policies;
  • likewise in time, this may (or more likely 'has to') impact U.S. based asset protectionism in the context of Chinese investment in U.S. based assets it considers strategic to it;
  • as a minimum this U.S. Federal Reserve decision is from China's perspective 'chicken soup' - it might help but it can't hurt;
  • at an extreme this U.S. Federal Reserve decision signals a further shift in world economic power;
  • remember the golden rule 'he who has the gold makes the rules'; and,
  • recall the old adage: 'give him an inch and he'll take a mile'.

What appears to be a comparative 'passing news item', may prove over time to be what future commentators may come to reference as a 'land-mark' economic event similar to President Nixon's August 1971 declaration of a floating gold price.

This is something to think hard about, and to discuss with your investment advisors and financially astute friends.

Federal Reserve allows Chinese-controlled banks to take stakes in US banks
Source: The Telegraph (from Reuters), May 9, 2012
Reading time: 3 minutes, thinking time much longer

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment