USD/CAD: Bullish Breakout at 1.0236
USD/CAD has moved out of its declining channel and has broken the resistance at 1.0236. Further short-term strength is favoured. Hourly resistances are at 1.0285 (19/03/2013 high) and 1.0342. An hourly support can be found at 1.0203 (16/04/2013 high).
The Bank of Canada should leave rates unchanged today. All eyes will be focused on the forward bias which could be softened to a neutral bias from a tightening bias.
In the medium-term, the break of the resistance at 1.0236 (05/04/2013 high) opens the way for a new test of the previous highs at 1.0342 (01/03/2013 high). However, the extreme short CAD market positioning suggests that the next significant medium-term move is likely to be to the downside.