EUR/USD: Making New Lows
EUR/USD still exhibits a succession of lower highs. The recent new lows below the support at 1.2985 invalidate a potential base formation. Supports are now at 1.2942 and 1.2838. Hourly resistances can be found at 1.3038 (intraday high, see also the declining trendline) and 1.3103.
In the medium-term, the recent price action from 1.2746 (04/04/2013 low) is viewed as a corrective phase within a larger downtrend. The high at 1.3417 (19/06/2013 high) following Bernanke's comments is a significant top. A minimum medium-term move towards the support at 1.2797 (17/05/2013 low) is expected.