Interest Rates Spike Again

By: John Rubino | Fri, Jul 5, 2013
Print Email

This morning's employment report looked good enough on the surface to rekindle talk of an end to the Fed's debt monetization program. So in addition to buying stocks at the open, traders began their day by dumping bonds. The 10-year Treasury yield is up by over 8% in early trading, to almost 2.7%.

10 year treasury july 2013

Now the question is, which of these two opposing forces -- rising employment and rising interest rates -- predominates. Specifically, are rising interest rates a sign of systemic health or an arrow aimed at the heart of an overleveraged society? A few things to look for: recalculations of the deficit in light of spiking interest costs, comparisons of US and Japanese yields and speculation about what this means for Japanese rates -- followed by dire analyses of Japan's future borrowing costs -- and last but not least, a growing concern for the hundreds of trillions of dollars of interest rate derivatives that now have one counterparty deeply in the red.

In fact, as of 10:20 EST some of the above might already be filtering into stock prices:

DJIA July 5 2013



John Rubino

Author: John Rubino

John Rubino

John Rubino

John Rubino edits and has authored or co-authored five books, including The Money Bubble: What To Do Before It Pops, Clean Money: Picking Winners in the Green Tech Boom, The Collapse of the Dollar and How to Profit From It, and How to Profit from the Coming Real Estate Bust. After earning a Finance MBA from New York University, he spent the 1980s on Wall Street, as a currency trader, equity analyst and junk bond analyst. During the 1990s he was a featured columnist with and a frequent contributor to Individual Investor, Online Investor, and Consumers Digest, among many other publications. He now writes for CFA Magazine.

Copyright © 2006-2017 John Rubino

All Images, XHTML Renderings, and Source Code Copyright ©