USD/CAD: Challenging Its Steep Declining Trendline
USD/CAD has broken its support at 1.0326 (11/07/2013 low), validating a bear flag with an implied downside risk at 1.0159. The short-term technical configuration remains negative as long as the resistance at 1.0325 (24/07/2013 high) holds. Another resistance lies at 1.0363. An initial support now stands at 1.0253.
In the longer-term, the key resistance at 1.0870 (02/11/2009 high, see also the long-term declining trendline from the October 2002 peak) is expected to cap the medium-term upside potential. However, as long as the support at 1.0137 (14/06/2013 low, see also the rising trendline from 0.9633 (14/09/2012 low) in a daily chart) holds, we would still favour a mild medium-term bullish bias.