USD/JPY: Drifting Lower
USD/JPY remains in a short-term succession of lower lows and lower highs since its peak at 101.53. A break of the resistance at 98.65 (15/08/2013 high, see also the declining trendline) is needed to improve the short-term technical configuration. Hourly supports are at 97.06 and 96.40 (intraday low).
A medium-term continuation pattern (symmetrical triangle) could be underway. Coupled with the 200 day moving average and the short-term oversold conditions, we see the region between 95.81 and 93.79 as a strong support area.