OIL Elliott Wave Analysis: Correction Within Downtrend

By: Gregor Horvat | Wed, Jan 15, 2014
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OIL Daily

Crude oil turned perfectly lower in the last two weeks from 100-101 resistance region where we highlighted a coming reversal. Price already reached new low, just beneath wave 3 which opens the door for lower levels in current wave 5. We expect further weakness, down to 86.00 in the next few weeks as long as 100.70 holds. However, be aware of a pullback in the next few trading days, back to 94-95 region before downtrend resumes.

OIL Daily Elliott Wave Analysis

Crude Oil Daily Chart

OIL 4h

It seems that crude oil is finally forming a reversal that we have been looking for after five legs down from above 100.70. We think that current leg up represents part of a deeper corrective retracement, labeled as wave (ii) that may reach 94.25 maybe even 96.00 area before downtrend may resume again. Keep in mind that this market has been falling strongly lately, so contra trend move or larger pause should not be a surprise.

OIL 4h Elliott Wave Analysis

Crude Oil 4-Hour Chart


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Gregor Horvat

Author: Gregor Horvat

Gregor Horvat

Gregor Horvat

Grega is based in Slovenia and has been involved in markets since 2003. He is the owner of www.ew-forecast.com, but before that he was working for Capital Forex Group and TheLFB.com. His feature articles have been published on: SafeHaven.com, FXstreet.com, Thestreet.com, Action forex, Forex TV, Istockanalyst, ForexFactory, Fxtraders.eu, Insidefutures.com, etc. He recently won the award on FXStreet.com for Best Forex Analysis in 2016. At www.ew-forecast.com he helps clients and educate them about the Elliott wave prinicple and how to label and track unfolding patterns in real time.  His approach to the markets is mainly technical. He uses a lot of different methods when analyzing the markets such as candlestick patterns, MA, technical indicators etc. His specialty however is Elliott Wave Theory which could be very helpful especially if you know how to use it in combination with other tools/indicators.

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