SP500: Weekly Reversal Candle Is Pointing For A Deeper Retracement

By: Gregor Horvat | Mon, Mar 17, 2014
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The markets were in risk-off mode during the Asian trading hours as respond to Crimea's votes results. If situation would get worse then be aware of even lower levels on S&P while Crude oil and Natural gas could find a support.

On the Weekly chart of the S&P500 we have seen a bearish close at the end of the last week that erased all of the gains from a week earlier. This can also be an important evidence for a bearish case in the following days.

S&P500 Weekly - Candlesticks

S&P500 Weekly Candlesticks Chart

S&P500 Daily

S&P500 has been in bullish mode since February but it looks like that the direction of a trend could be changing now after a rally up to 1880/1920 Fibonacci and channel resistance area, where we see zone for a completed fifth wave in wave 5) of (3). So far, market is reversing nicely down with a weekly close price at 1839 so we suspect that market has turned bearish now for a three wave pullback down in blue wave (4).

S&P500 Daily Elliott Wave Analysis

S&P500 Daily Elliott Wave Analysis Chart

S&P500 4h

On the 4h chart of the S&P500 Futures contract we are looking at the Elliott Wave count where structure might have finally formed a top after very strong sell-off in the last couple of days from 1886. A decline however is still not a clear impulse, but another intraday leg down to 1800/1810 will suggest that trend has turned bearish or at least sideways. In that case traders could be interested in shorts opportunities.

S&P Futures (Mar 2014) 4h- Elliott Wave Analysis

S&P Futures (Mar 2014) 4-Hour Elliott Wave Analysis Chart


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Gregor Horvat

Author: Gregor Horvat

Gregor Horvat

Gregor Horvat

Gregor Horvat, based in Slovenia, has been in the forex markets since 2003. He is a technical analyst and individual trader who has worked for Capital Forex Group and TheLFB.com. He also is founder of forex services on www.ew-forecast.com. EW-Forecast.com provides technical analysis of the financial markets, highlighting behavioral patterns based on the Elliott Wave Principle (EWP). Website: http://www.ew-forecast.com/

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