Delayed Decline

By: Ed Carlson | Tue, Apr 28, 2015
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The recent forecast for a high on April 15 looked good as the Dow stalled out the next day and then dropped almost 280 points on April 17. But according to the forecast for the next low the "tax-day top" was supposed to precede a decline into late last week. Instead, the market has rallied from the low on April 17.

Despite the single-date forecasts generated by my Hybrid-Lindsay approach it is important to remember there is a window of time surrounding these forecasts. Always allow at least one week (and occasionally two) on either side of the forecast date. Once we reach that time period (as we are now) we begin looking for signs of a reversal.

There is a cluster of cycles converging during Wednesday through Friday of this week. As they are within five trading days of last week's forecast for a low it is quite possible that the market will see the expected bottom then.

 


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Ed Carlson

Author: Ed Carlson

Ed Carlson
Seattle Technical Advisors.com

Ed Carlson

Ed Carlson, author of George Lindsay and the Art of Technical Analysis, and his new book, George Lindsay's An Aid to Timing is an independent trader, consultant, and Chartered Market Technician (CMT) based in Seattle. Carlson manages the website Seattle Technical Advisors.com, where he publishes daily and weekly commentary. He spent twenty years as a stockbroker and holds an M.B.A. from Wichita State University.

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