• 307 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 308 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 309 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 709 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 714 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 716 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 719 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 719 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 720 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 722 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 722 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 726 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 726 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 727 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 729 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 730 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 733 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 734 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 734 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 736 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
Zombie Foreclosures On The Rise In The U.S.

Zombie Foreclosures On The Rise In The U.S.

During the quarter there were…

Market Sentiment At Its Lowest In 10 Months

Market Sentiment At Its Lowest In 10 Months

Stocks sold off last week…

Another Retail Giant Bites The Dust

Another Retail Giant Bites The Dust

Forever 21 filed for Chapter…

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Agricultural Commodities Prepare To Launch Higher Again

As outlined in previous analysis, the price of the agricultural commodities of corn, soybeans and wheat look to have already kicked off the bear rallies. From previous longer term analysis, we are expecting these bear rallies to be big ones.

Prices have come back down and now look ready to launch into the next stage of these rallies so let's revise the technicals of each commodity using the daily charts.


Corn Daily Chart

Corn Daily Chart

The first correction in a new bull trend often makes a deep retracement and so far price has already pulled back to around the 76.4% Fibonacci retracement level of the first move higher.

I have drawn a Fibonacci Fan which shows the recent low just above the 88.6% angle which often sees in the first pullback low.

The PSAR indicator still has a bearish bias with the dots above price.

The Bollinger Bands show price has left the lower band but has yet to get back to the middle band so one final move back to the lower band remains a possibility.

The recent low was accompanied by bullish divergences on the RSI while both the Stochatsic and MACD indicators have now turned bullish.


Soybeans Daily Chart

Soybeans Daily Chart

Price has corrected to just above the 76.4% Fibonacci retracement level and while the 76.4% Fibonacci Fan angle looks to have provided support. While price turning back up now looks bullish, a move back to the 76.4% retracement level and 88.6% fan angle can't be ruled out.

The PSAR indicator now has a bullish bias with the dots below price although it would not surprise to see price come back down to test the support from these dots which are near the recent lows.

The Bollinger Bands show price now just above the middle band and I would expect some oscillation around this middle band at the least before the next leg higher really gets going.

The RSI did not show any bullish divergence at the recent low which I generally like to see although it is certainly not necessary. The Stochastic and MACD indicators are both now bullish again.


Wheat Daily Chart

Wheat Daily Chart

Price has corrected to around the 76.4% Fibonacci retracement level and the 88.6% Fibonacci Fan angle and if the low is not yet in place then I would expect any further moves lower to be only very marginal.

The PSAR indicator now has a bullish bias with the dots below price.

The Bollinger bands show price is back to the middle band but it is not uncommon in these instances to see one last hurrah move back to the lower band before the rally really lets loose.

The recent low showed bullish divergences on the RSI while the Stochastic and MACD indicators have both turned bullish.

Summing up, the prices of corn, soybeans and wheat have all now made deep retracements which are commonly found at the beginning of new bull trend. We should see a test of these recent lows which may or may not make marginal false break lows before the expected bear rallies kick on to much higher prices.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment