It's All Downhill From Here

By: Ed Carlson | Tue, Sep 29, 2015
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Well, down anyway. An emissions scandal at VW (the world's largest auto maker), the announcement from Caterpillar that it is laying off 10,000 workers, a 5,000% price increase in a 62-year-old drug, the resignation of the US Speaker of the House, and Janet Yellen reaffirming a rate hike before the end of the year... what's not to be bullish about?!

I find no reason to expect anything more than a slight hesitation in the decline which began two weeks ago until early next week, Oct 5/6. Oct 5 is exciting as it would be the first low forecast with the Hybrid Lindsay model centered on the bull market high (5/19/15). The intermediate lows of the 1929-1932 bear market were all forecast using this model centered on the bull market high in September 1929. A low on Oct. 5/6 is also forecast with a Middle Section centered on the high of the previous Basic Cycle, 5/2/11.

A break of 1,850-SPX opens the door for a return to the Jan'14 low near 1,750 which corresponds to the measured move from the bearish pennant formation.

S&P 500 Index
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Ed Carlson

Author: Ed Carlson

Ed Carlson
Seattle Technical Advisors.com

Ed Carlson

Ed Carlson, author of George Lindsay and the Art of Technical Analysis, and his new book, George Lindsay's An Aid to Timing is an independent trader, consultant, and Chartered Market Technician (CMT) based in Seattle. Carlson manages the website Seattle Technical Advisors.com, where he publishes daily and weekly commentary. He spent twenty years as a stockbroker and holds an M.B.A. from Wichita State University.

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