Choppy, Toppy Market into Early October

By: Brad Gudgeon | Sat, Oct 1, 2016
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Last week, we saw the stock market whipsaw: up one day and down the next. That pattern should continue into October 4th with another down day Monday. Buy the dip! A cycle top is due on Oct 4. The whole pattern smacks of a sideways 'b' wave bear flag that should give way to a nice 'c' wave drop into week's end.

I believe we finally see that false break of the rising wedge I've been talking about. A test of SPX 2099/2100 looks likely by Oct 7. October 6th should be a huge down day, somewhat similar to September 9th. What a messy strewn out 'Z' wave we've had (see chart below).

The expected October 7th bottom should yield the final "C" wave thrust back up into the rising wedge, perhaps as high as 1995-2110 or somewhere in between. 2220 would surprise me. October's expected top on October 14th should be the high for the year. A post election surprise should drop the markets markedly into around November 18-21.

Gold made a new low 2 trading days past the GDX low last week.  Silver tried to rally, but stalled. The recent pattern suggests a strong rally early next week, but like the stock market perhaps doomed to fail to make a higher high than the last high.

SPX Daily Chart
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GDX Hourly Chart
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Another thing I wish to mention: please don't trade this or any other forecast verbatim without getting proper updates from the author. Tracking the stock market is much like tracking the weather: you need to have regular updates. Things can and do change.

Brad Gudgeon, editor and author of the BluStar Market Timer, is a market veteran of over 30 years. The subscription website is www.blustarmarkettimer.info

 


 

Brad Gudgeon

Author: Brad Gudgeon

Brad Gudgeon
BluStar Market Timer
Blog
eaglesoveramerica.com

BluStar Market Timer Investment Philosophy: The stock market is currently in a technical Elliott Wave Bear Market Rally. It has been exhibiting A-B-C type waves instead of the normal 5 Waves since the market topped in 2000. According to "The Original Works of R.N. Elliott", we are due for a move down to about the S&P 500 442/443 area in the next few years. In my opinion, this is no longer a buy and hold market, but a traders' market. We mainly swing trade the market with funds and ETF's, but otherwise trade according to the market's disposition and to the traders' discretion. For the year 2014, BluStar Market Timer is rated #1 according to Timer Trac. http://www.blustarmarkettimer.info

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