Elliott Wave Analysis: SP500; and Crude OIL

By: Gregor Horvat | Mon, Jan 23, 2017
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S&P500

E-mini S&P500 is moving sideways with a contracting range which is tighter and tighter so breakout is going to occur soon. Technically we expect a push to a new high since we know that triangles are continuation patterns. That said, watch out for 2273 bullish level which can be an important breakout point this week for bulls. On the downside we see 2248 as very important.

S&P500, 1H

S&P500 1-Hour Chart


Crude OIL

Decline on crude oil below 52.66 suggests that rally from Jan 18 low was only a temporary three wave bounce, now labeled as wave E of a bearish triangle. The reason why we changed the view to a temporary bearish mode is also a five wave reversal from 53.67 which means that bears can be in control for a few days. Rise back above 53.67 would be a new bullish evidence for this energy.

Crude OIL, 30Min

Crude Oil 30-Minute Chart

 


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Gregor Horvat

Author: Gregor Horvat

Gregor Horvat
www.ew-forecast.com

Gregor Horvat

Grega is based in Slovenia and has been involved in markets since 2003. He is the owner of www.ew-forecast.com, but before that he was working for Capital Forex Group and TheLFB.com. His feature articles have been published on: SafeHaven.com, FXstreet.com, Thestreet.com, Action forex, Forex TV, Istockanalyst, ForexFactory, Fxtraders.eu, Insidefutures.com, etc. He recently won the award on FXStreet.com for Best Forex Analysis in 2016. At www.ew-forecast.com he helps clients and educate them about the Elliott wave prinicple and how to label and track unfolding patterns in real time.  His approach to the markets is mainly technical. He uses a lot of different methods when analyzing the markets such as candlestick patterns, MA, technical indicators etc. His specialty however is Elliott Wave Theory which could be very helpful especially if you know how to use it in combination with other tools/indicators.

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