• 309 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 310 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 311 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 711 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 716 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 718 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 721 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 721 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 722 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 724 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 724 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 728 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 728 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 729 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 731 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 732 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 735 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 736 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 736 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 738 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
How The Ultra-Wealthy Are Using Art To Dodge Taxes

How The Ultra-Wealthy Are Using Art To Dodge Taxes

More freeports open around the…

What's Behind The Global EV Sales Slowdown?

What's Behind The Global EV Sales Slowdown?

An economic slowdown in many…

How Millennials Are Reshaping Real Estate

How Millennials Are Reshaping Real Estate

The real estate market is…

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Gold Thoughts

New York, which considers itself the center of the known universe, has discovered a solution to collapsing mountain of mortgage debt. NYSE is delisting NEW. Strategy of out of sight out of mind works for them. Amid this collapse of mortgage related stock prices and business models, Street analysts are showing their skills. One of these fantasy forecasters lowered NEW to "under perform" on Monday. Talk about forecasting ability. The mortgage bomb de jour for Tuesday is LEND, down from almost $60 to $5. This one also downgraded to "under perform" by a talented analyst on Monday, and the price target of $26 was discarded. Interestingly, in most of these meltdowns some hedge fund seems to be identified as holding a major position. Pity the poor individual investors, the ultimate beneficiaries of this combined ineptness.

Gold is a unique investment. It has no balance sheet. It has no earnings estimates. It is the only investment that is a true asset, neither a debt nor residual ownership. Such is the reason that central banks around the world, from beginning of time, have held Gold. Know any central banks that prefer to hold sub prime mortgages rather than Gold? Know any Roman mortgage broker stocks?

Gold has shaken off over bought condition that developed before yen carry trade panic. Importantly, Gold did not suffer an immediate sympathetic move on Tuesday morning as paper asset markets started meltdown. NASDAQ Composite Index has completely broken down. Faces a further decline of perhaps 1-200 points, as noted previously. Such periods demonstrate need to diversify portfolios with Gold, buying during price weakness. Silver may be moving toward an important buying point, in terms of price and time, this week. GDM gave an intermediate buy signal on Monday, suggesting better times ahead for Gold stocks. Gold's late price weakness Tuesday during the collapse of paper equity markets is likely going to create a significant buy signal this week. For those that can not overcome their paper asset addiction, put options on WB, any financial institution with exposure to housing industry, brokerage firms that may have sold mortgage debt to gullible public, and so on.

As a final note, advertisement for a cable business show on investing has been giving some interesting advice. Viewers are advised to buy stocks from the new high list and then sell higher. Imagine how that portfolio strategy has performed over recent weeks. Such is the reason they call that strategy the "greater fool theory." In contrast, we try to recommend buying Gold when prices are relatively low, declining or lethargic. We hope then to sell later when Gold rises to more than US$1,400.

GOLD THOUGHTS come from Ned W. Schmidt,CFA,CEBS, publisher of The Value View Gold Report, monthly, and Trading Thoughts, weekly. To receive a subscription to these publications simply use this link, http://home.att.net/~nwschmidt/Order_Gold_EMonthlyTT.html.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment