Francois Soto

Contributor since: 26 Feb 2010

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• Terms of Trade Superiority at Forecasting U.S. Real GDP!

  Published 26 June 2010 | viewed 0 times

  ECRI Weekly LEI Issue Many market participants are debating whether or not a double dip recession will occur within the next quarters. As we are…

• Predicting All Major Stock Market Troughs Since 1965!

  Published 10 May 2010 | viewed 0 times

  We introduced the Credit Complacency Crash (CCC) Sub-Model in April. Two weeks ago, we said we would discuss more on sector allocation in May but…

• New Sector Leadership Ahead

  Published 08 April 2010 | viewed 1,398 times

  We just added new tools to analyze sector allocation on our U.S. Economics Monthly research. As of March 2010, the four sectors with highest momentums…

• Predicting All Major Stock Market Crashes Since 1965!

  Published 07 April 2010 | viewed 1,593 times

  Discovery We unexpectedly discovered two sets of conditions preceding every major S&P 500 peak since 1965! We coined such signal the imminent Credit Complacency Crash…

• The End of Low Interest Rates Is Near

  Published 17 February 2010 | viewed 3,528 times

  February 2010 Long Term Interest Rates To Double By 2020 We believe 10-Year U.S. Treasuries Government Yield is going to double over the next decade…

• Long Term Equity Valuation: Replacing the P/E for the DR3

  Published 02 November 2009 | viewed 3,170 times

  Is the S&P 500 undervalued from the current level? To answer this question, one might be tempted to look at the actual P/E (Price /…

• US Economics Monthly

  Published 12 October 2009 | viewed 3,245 times

  Dear reader EMphase Finance is proud to launch its new research service US Economics Monthly. The goal of this publication is to provide in an…

• Recovery Underway But Double-Dip Recession Risk Remains

  Published 31 August 2009 | viewed 3,145 times

  Consumers Are Not Saving Yet Over the last months, we have seen articles discussing the dramatic surge of Personal Saving Rate as % of Disposable…

• GOLD ($GOLD) - Is Gold Really Safe? We Think Not

  Published 03 March 2007 | viewed 7,146 times

  Gold Truly Didn't Shine this Week After trying to test without any success the $700 psychological level, the gold commodity plunged by more than $50…

• TSX ($TSX) - Bear Market Possibly Begun

  Published 01 March 2007 | viewed 8,217 times

  This essay was originally published at http://www.emfin.com on February 27, 2007. Wow! What a day! The sharp sell off today in all sorts of equities…