• 309 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 310 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 311 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 711 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 716 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 718 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 721 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 721 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 722 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 724 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 724 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 728 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 728 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 729 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 731 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 732 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 735 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 736 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 736 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 738 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Interest Rates Spike Again

This morning's employment report looked good enough on the surface to rekindle talk of an end to the Fed's debt monetization program. So in addition to buying stocks at the open, traders began their day by dumping bonds. The 10-year Treasury yield is up by over 8% in early trading, to almost 2.7%.

10 year treasury july 2013

Now the question is, which of these two opposing forces -- rising employment and rising interest rates -- predominates. Specifically, are rising interest rates a sign of systemic health or an arrow aimed at the heart of an overleveraged society? A few things to look for: recalculations of the deficit in light of spiking interest costs, comparisons of US and Japanese yields and speculation about what this means for Japanese rates -- followed by dire analyses of Japan's future borrowing costs -- and last but not least, a growing concern for the hundreds of trillions of dollars of interest rate derivatives that now have one counterparty deeply in the red.

In fact, as of 10:20 EST some of the above might already be filtering into stock prices:

DJIA July 5 2013

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment