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Could Equities Sell Offs Find A Bottom This Week?

By: Ed Carlson | Tuesday, August 22, 2017

Cycles warn that the sell-off in equities during the last two weeks should find a bottom this week – temporarily. The Bradley model does not hold much hope for those who hope to trade the bounce as it points an upwards-to-sideways move until mid-September when it drops precipitously into mid-October.

The Decennial pattern warns of a nasty sell-off in equities during years ending in the number 7 (i.e. 2017).  Since 1907 each of these years (with the exception of 1947 which suffered a mere 6.2% drop) has seen a double-digit decline beginning somewhere between June and October.

One non-cyclical indicator warning of a low is NYSE new 52-week lows (chart). They have reached a high enough level to indicate that market participants have thrown in the towel (the selling is over for now).

By Ed Carlson 

Author: Ed Carlson

Ed Carlson
Seattle Technical Advisors.com

Ed Carlson

Ed Carlson, author of George Lindsay and the Art of Technical Analysis, and his new book, George Lindsay's An Aid to Timing is an independent trader, consultant, and Chartered Market Technician (CMT) based in Seattle. Carlson manages the website Seattle Technical Advisors.com, where he publishes daily and weekly commentary. He spent twenty years as a stockbroker and holds an M.B.A. from Wichita State University.

Copyright © 2012-2017 Ed Carlson