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Article Archive | Page 2657

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Three Competing Theories

Jul 18, 2011 at 20:37

Long-time readers are familiar with the wisdom of Lacy Hunt. He is a regular feature of Outside the Box. He…

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What To Look For In A Bearish Turn For Stocks

Jul 18, 2011 at 20:17

Study and Screening Process Does the current market look more like 2004 or 2007? The answer is important because stocks did well from August 2004 to October 2007, but they…

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Bonds, Inflation Expectations, and QE3

Jul 18, 2011 at 19:24

Below is an excerpt from a commentary originally posted at www.speculative-investor.com on 17th July 2011.   The only major threat to the T-Bond The…

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Commodities 2011 Halftime Report

Jul 18, 2011 at 16:34

Commodities don't all perform in the same way. In any given year, a particular commodity will go gangbusters and outperform the group. However, that commodity will typically come back to…

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If The Change In Our Pockets Isn't Enough

Jul 18, 2011 at 15:56

I begin to wonder how much more 'flight to quality premium' there can be in U.S. Treasury bonds. Today Greek 10-year yields rose 59bps to match the old highs around…

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You're Next

Jul 18, 2011 at 14:44

The latter part of this editorial contains comments on resources stocks and metals. Notwithstanding those comments, the current situation in Europe will overwhelm everything else in the market near term…

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Developing World Developing Bubbles

Jul 18, 2011 at 14:01

It's a very thin reed, but some economists and money managers are clinging to the hope that the developing world, having avoided the disastrous borrowing binge of the US, Europe,…

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Do We Have a Medicare Budgetary Problem or an Aging Population Problem?

Jul 18, 2011 at 13:45

Chart 1 shows what is driving the projections of federal spending (and, implicitly, the national debt) in the upcoming 11 fiscal years - mandatory federal outlays and interest on the…

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Gold Rally on Track

Jul 18, 2011 at 12:55

Back in mid-April, silver was on its way into a parabolic peak while the dollar was plunging into a low. At the time I was anticipating a hard correction for…

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Debt Ceiling Drama

Jul 18, 2011 at 12:37

The debt ceiling debate is providing plenty of opportunity for political theater in Washington. Proponents of raising the debt ceiling are throwing around the usual scare tactics and misinformation in…