6/16/2009 10:10:30 PM

Are we at a bottom?

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Stock Barometer Analysis

The barometer remains in Sell Mode.

The Stock Barometer is my proprietary market timing system. The direction, slope and level of the Stock Barometer determine our outlook. For example, if the barometer line is moving down, we are in Sell Mode. A Buy or Sell Signal is triggered when the indicator clearly changes direction. Trend and support can override the barometer signals.

Day Trading Edge - with Paul Soo
A professional Day Trader navigates you through 2 to 10 trades per day

Stock Barometer Cycle Time

Wednesday is day 8 in our down cycle.

The Stock Barometer signals follow 5, 8, 13, 21 and sometimes 34 day Fibonacci cycles that balance with 'normal' market cycles. Knowing where you are in the current market cycle is important in deciding how long you expect to maintain a position.

The Advantage Report - with Angelo Campione
S&P and Nasdaq Market timing advice for only $10.95/month

Potential Cycle Reversal Dates

2009 Potential Reversal Dates: 1/20, 2/11, 3/7, 3/15, 4/8, 4/16, 4/27, 5/7, 6/8, 7/2, 7/17. We publish these dates up to 2 months in advance.

We're looking for a move down into 7/2.

My Additional timing work is based on numerous cycles and has resulted in the above potential reversal dates. These are not to be confused with the barometer signals or cycle times. However, due to their past accuracy I post the dates here.

2008 Potential Reversal Dates: 12/31, 1/11, 2/1, 2/13, 3/6, 4/5, 4/22, 5/23, 6/6, 6/27, 7/13, 9/2, 10/3, 10/22, 11/10, 12/11. 2007 Potential Reversal Dates: 1/10, 1/14, 1/27, 1/31, 2/3, 2/17, 3/10, 3/24, 4/21, 5/6, 6/15, 8/29, 10/19, 11/29, 12/13, 12/23, 12/31, 1/11/08. 2006 potential reversal dates: 1/16, 1/30, 2/25, 3/19, 4/8, 5/8, 5/19, 6/6(20), 7/24, 8/20, 8/29, 9/15, 10/11, 11/28. 2005 Potential reversal dates: 12/27, 1/25, 2/16, 3/4, 3/14, 3/29, 4/5, 4/19, 5/2, 6/3, 6/10, 7/13, 7/28, 8/12, 8/30-31, 9/22, 10/4, 11/15, 11/20, 12/16.

Patrice V. Johnson's - J.E.D.I. Trader
Stocks, Options and Options on futures advisory service (up over 100% in 2008).

Spread Indicators

Use the following spread/momentum indicators to assist in your trading of the QQQQ, GLD, USD, USO and TLT. They are tuned to deliver signals in line with the Stock Barometer and we use them only in determining our overall outlook for the market and for pinpointing market reversals. The level, direction, and position to the zero line are keys in these indicators. For example, direction determines mode and a buy signal 'above zero' is more bullish than a buy signal 'below zero'.

QQQQ Spread Indicator (NASDAQ:QQQQ)

The QQQQ Spread Indicator will yield its own buy and sell signals that may be different from the Stock Barometer. It's meant to give us an idea of the next turn in the market.

Lynn T's 1-2-3 PLUS Alert
Provides buying and selling advice with 1/3 Index positioning for trends
use 2.5x Leverage and our advice as a hedge for your current portfolio.

Gold Spread Indicator (AMEX:GLD)

Want to trade Gold? Use our signals with the Gold ETF AMEX:GLD. Gold gives us a general gage to the overall health of the US Economy and the markets.

Bill West's Fat Pitch ETF Advisory
ETF Advisor trades a diversified portfolio of the hottest Exchange Traded Funds.

US Dollar Index Spread Indicator (INDEX:DXY)

Want to trade the US Dollar? Use our signals with the Power Shares AMEX:UUP: US Dollar Index Bullish Fund and AMEX:UDN: US Dollar Index Bearish Fund.

The McMillan Portfolio ($18.95/Month)
Get specific advice to manage a portfolio of Stocks and Options

Bonds Spread Indicator (AMEX:TLT)

Want to trade Bonds? Use our signals with Lehman's 20 year ETF AMEX:TLT. The direction of bonds has an impact on the stock market. Normally, as bonds go down, stocks will go up and as bonds go up, stocks will go down.

Stock Options Speculator
SOS recommends very aggressive stock options plays that target >100% gains.

OIL Spread Indicator (AMEX:USO)

Want to trade OIL? Use our signals with AMEX:USO, the OIL ETF. We look at the price of oil as its level and direction has an impact on the stock market.

Angelo Campione's Advantage Credit Spreads ($49.95/month)
Using Options to Target Consistent & Conservative Profits - up over 100% in 2007!

Supporting Secondary Indicator

We daily monitor hundreds of popular and proprietary technical indicators that break down market internals, sentiment and money flow to give us unique insight into the market. We feature at least one here each day in support of our current outlook.

The McMillan Letter ($8.95/Month)
Join Analyst Mark McMillan as he identifies current opportunities

Summary of Daily Outlook

We remain in Sell Mode, looking for the market to move lower into 7/2.

It's funny, sometimes when you have a call out there for so long, you start second guessing it. I know the market likes to rally into the July 4th holiday - so there's always the chance that it will again. Heck, there's always the chance that it will do whatever it wants, whenever it wants. But that's the market.

How much money do I recommend trading with? Not much. While that may go against the fact that I offer trading advice, it's my message never to bet too much on any one strategy. Balance is the key. There is no holy grail that will make all your money back. Just follow a sound safe balanced strategy and avoid making a mistake that you possibly may never recover from.

If you have any questions or comments, email me at Jay@stockbarometer.com.

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Regards,