• 530 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 530 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 532 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 931 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 936 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 938 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 941 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 942 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 942 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 944 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 944 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 948 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 949 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 949 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 952 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 952 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 955 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 956 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 956 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 958 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
What's Behind The Global EV Sales Slowdown?

What's Behind The Global EV Sales Slowdown?

An economic slowdown in many…

How The Ultra-Wealthy Are Using Art To Dodge Taxes

How The Ultra-Wealthy Are Using Art To Dodge Taxes

More freeports open around the…

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Gold Stock Bugs - Need a Boost?

Sentiment is terrible in the Gold patch right now, which is what's usually needed to form a lasting bottom. It's so bad that people are actually concerned about what Prechter is saying is going to happen to the Gold price right now (in case you don't know Prechter's track record on Gold, it's simple: he's been "big picture" bearish on Gold for the past ten years).

Watching each tick lower is frustrating when you pay too much attention to the daily tape (the author is guilty as charged). To give fellow Gold and Gold stock bulls a little taste of what may be coming, let's take a walk down memory lane to an earlier stage in the current secular Gold stock bull market. Here's a current 6 month chart of the $HUI unhedged Gold Bugs Mining Index thru today's close:

Now, here's what I think is a similar point in time from late 2001 (daily candlestick $HUI chart):

And here's what happened next in the $HUI back in late 2001:

And then, here's what happened next in 2002 after this massive spike higher completed:

Now, since I already know the paperbugs are going to counter with "bear market means Gold stocks go lower," here's what the NASDAQ (main candlestick plot) and S&P 500 (black linear plot below) did during the 158% gain in the $HUI:

And, for the curious, here's what the Gold price (main linear plot) and U.S. Dollar Index (lower plot) did during this historic bull run:

I remain bullish on Gold and Gold stocks. I think 2010 is going to be a banner year for Gold stocks based on fundamentals (i.e. "real" price of Gold at multi-decade highs), and I think times like these are when Gold bulls should be buying hand over fist. The secular Gold and Gold stock bull market will not end until the Dow to Gold ratio gets to 2 and we could even go below 1 this cycle.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment