• 553 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 553 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 555 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 955 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 959 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 961 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 964 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 965 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 966 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 967 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 968 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 972 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 972 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 973 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 975 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 975 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 979 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 979 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 979 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 982 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
Dock Treece

Dock Treece

Dock David Treece is a partner with Treece Investment Advisory Corp (www.TreeceInvestments.com) and is licensed with FINRA through Treece Financial Services Corp. He provides expert…

Contact Author

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Gold Loses Luster as Earnings Ignite

Lately gold has taken a tumble as the broader market and the economy begin to show faint signs of life. Hopefully some investors were able to sidestep this move; they were certainly warned. Readers look no further than last week, when we wrote that gold's price was inflated and would likely correct.

We wrote then that a growing number investors were unaware of the dynamics of investing in gold, and that they needed to be sure they committed enough time to understanding the way commodities work. Another warning we issued over a year ago (Buying is Golden) was recently picked up in Businessweek's cover story "Amber Waves of Pain" (Robison, Loder and Bjerga), namely the pitfalls of ETFs, particularly those utilizing leverage or focused on commodities.

The problem with ETFs is that very few investors or their advisors know exactly what they are, much less how they work. The Businessweek article hit the nail on the head when they said the reason for creating such ETFs was to open commodities, which have generally been restricted to futures traders, to a much larger sales force, as funds were made available through any broker who trades in stocks.

Businessweek also revealed that through ETFs, "Wall Street banks are transferring wealth from their clients to their trading desks." Moreover, traders with expertise in the futures market have gone on record as saying that these products have allowed them to "make a living off the dumb money," namely investors (Emil van Essen, Amber Waves of Pain).

The lesson here is that ETFs and other complex investment products, including derivatives of all types, should raise red flags for investors. If these products are being suggested as investment opportunities, investors need to make sure that their advisors know what it is they are pushing, and how these products react to changing market conditions.

In addition to the recent Businessweek article, the market has been inundated lately with articles hinting at improvement in the US economy, though largely without additional employment. While the economy has been slowing regaining its footing for months, we have lately seen numerous instances of increases in corporate spending that lead us to believe that the economy will continue to improve.

However, we still feel that this recovery will be mostly jobless, at least for awhile, due in part to the extension of unemployment benefits by the powers that be in Washington. While the economy should continue to recover - barring any unforeseen shocks to the market - employment won't like begin to recover substantially until into 2011.

With election season approaching, it seems highly likely at this point that, come November, the Democrats will at least lose the House of Representatives, if not both houses of Congress. Political gridlock will likely result, as all spending bills must originate in the House. This administration's ability to spend will be ground to a halt, and we won't likely see any significant legislation from Capitol Hill for the remainder of Obama's term.

However, we see this as a positive for the economy and financial markets. If the last several years have taught us anything, it's that business hates uncertainty. In the event of gridlock in Washington, businesses will be able to rest easy that no major surprises will negatively impact their bottom lines.

Our hope is that the removal of regulatory roadblocks from the private sector will create sufficient incentive for companies to continue spending and expanding, which should bring this economy roaring back to life.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment