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Market Sentiment At Its Lowest In 10 Months

Market Sentiment At Its Lowest In 10 Months

Stocks sold off last week…

Billionaires Are Pushing Art To New Limits

Billionaires Are Pushing Art To New Limits

Welcome to Art Basel: The…

Steve Bauer

Steve Bauer

Steve owned a privately held asset management firm and managed individual investor and corporate accounts as a Registered Investment Advisor - for over 40 years.

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Investing Wisely -- Update with Recommendations and Personalized Follow-Up

Brief Intro:

If you have been following - my focus has been to wait for a mini - Pull-Back as one of my Conformations needed for a Buying Opportunity.

I suspect that the "Buying Opportunity" is shifting to a Short-Sale / Inverse ETF Opportunity. Now, it's a mini - rally that will trigger some Recommendations.

So, with that in hand ...

Specific Company - Shorts and Inverse ETF - Buy - Recommendations will be provided, just like in my April 8th Update / Recommendations. (You might remember that those were Short - Recommendations - too.)



Commentary:

Repeating: I remain a Bear waiting to prudently position the balance of my 100% CASH.

It is starting to look like the Bear will come before the Bull. And that is no Bull.


Rallies and Pull-Backs! -- That's what it is all about.

Within my Methodology there are several tiers / cycles of each -- Rallies for Buying and Pull-Backs for Shorting. Primary, Secondary - - third / fourth level tiers (Cycles) and so on. There is not enough profit potential in third / fourth or more - level tiers (Cycles) so - I use them as a technical set-up (part of my Conformation Methodology) to identify Buying and Shorting -- Primary and Secondary Cycle / Investment Opportunities. Historically -- Primary Cycles occur (Bull & Bear) 3 - 5 times per year. Historically Secondary Cycles, which include the Primary Cycles occur (Bull & Bear) 5 - 7 times per year. This year, so far, is producing more and has become more of a Traders Market.

I believe my use of Conformations is both -- absolutely necessary if you want consistent annual profits -- and what separates the average Investor / Financial Analyst from on going success.

The same is true for having the patience and discipline to wait for the Primary and Secondary Cycle to begin. You could say - this is how I go about identifying - - Tops and Bottoms.


Bottom Line:

  • Patience and Discipline - waiting for Conformations is necessary and it works!

  • The Market is now (very possible) setting up for another major Pull-Back but - - Up til this Posting - I thought there would likely be a meaningful rally preceding it - maybe not!

  • Now, if we get a mini-rally -- a maxi-pull-back should occur in the very near-term.

  • Volatility may not be showing up on VIX - lately, but it is clearly - alive and well. My opinion is that - like preceding the late April - Pull-Back it (VIX) might just start turning up and get back to it's crazy self.


I'll Update these opinions and thoughts - promptly if Market Conditions change.

I will also share / remind you, in each Posting that -- while my mini - forecasts are (over the years) very accurate - there are many Variable Market Conditions (going's on - stuff) that can delay an Investment Opportunity - Long or Short. Unfortunately, given half of a chance, the dynamics of the Marketplace will most often create a delay! But, sooner or later ...


In-Favor Sectors: None for this Posting.


As a Note / Warning to my Sector / Industry Group Rotation Work: Rotation is my essential key and is foundational to profiting in this Marketplace. So, I strongly emphasize the above word - "Selective." Even within my "In Favor" Sectors and Industry Groups the component Companies and ETFs -- are widely scattered and appear, on the Charts, to be heading in many different directions. Obviously, some of those "directions" are not good for your bottom line - even when you are within the correct Cycle!


If you would like:

  • the Sale / Cover side to my specific Recommendations for SafeHaven

  • information about my Work / Methodology / Services, or of me Personally

  • my performance record while with SafeHaven

- - - just send me an Email and I will respond promptly - - -


I also maintain a Blog focused on My Rotation Model which I will make available to those of you who may wish to be in contact with me. It covers - - My General Market Commentary - and - Sector Rotation Models and is Updated - 2 - 3 times per week.

Important! Please understand that while I am sharing with you - my stuff -- it is important to me to know a bit about you and - your stuff - - so, I will ask you share, with me, a little personal information and a little investment background with your goals and objectives - just to get acquainted. Time will tell if there is a fit with what I do and your investment needs and objectives.

Just click on my name (below) for my Email Address.

Thank you for your interest.

Smile, have fun - Investing Wisely,

 

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