• 546 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 546 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 548 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 948 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 952 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 954 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 957 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 958 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 959 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 960 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 961 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 965 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 965 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 966 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 968 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 968 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 972 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 972 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 973 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 975 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
readtheticker

readtheticker

readtheticker

We are financial market enthusiasts using methods expressed by the Gann, Hurst and Wyckoff with a few of our own proprietary tools. Readtheticker.com provides online…

Contact Author

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Silver Can Swing Your Wealth Between Rich and Poor

Silver is a rollercoster that only adults should ride. Violent swings in price will change your wealth between rich or poor in a few short months. How can one tame such unruly price action? The only way we know how is to examine the unruly patient by employing diagnostic charting methods by William Gann, Richard Wyckoff and Jim Hurst.

The chart below at first will scare you off, therefore please review with it three different chartologist hats. The chart is the silver ETF by weekly periods. The charts horizontal and vertical scale is set to Gann's time to price of 1 x 1, or 1 unit of time for 1 unit of price.

SLV Silver Trust


SLV is the ETF for Silver.

Technical explanations of the three types of logic can be found under 'General Information' tab from the readtheticker.com website.


Hurst Logic

1) The lowest box shows two significant weekly cycles, the 32 (red) and 60 (blue) cycle periods.

2) The blue dots show the match up of the 60 week cycle peaks and troughs with price. Since 2006 we have had a 90% success rate of cycle to price action. I say 90%, as we had a very bullish price inversion during 2009. You say, "but the 90% cycle success is in the past and not in the future, so what's it worth in real time?" True, I agree. But this statistic requires your respect within the immediate future movement of SLV. Patterns do repeat and I suggest that within the next 60 weeks we have a very high probability of a price low matching a significant cycle low.

3) The blue dots with a red circle around them highlights the powerful match up of the 32 and 60 week cycle peaks and or troughs. These points on the price chart have proven to be very significant highs and lows.

Currently, we see the SLV high as a perfect match up with the 32 and 60 weekly cycles. Which suggests a significant high may develop here. Two things can happen, we get our high, or price continues to trend higher creating a bullish price inversion. Let's bank on history repeating, therefore our bias is for a high between $28 and $32 dollars in first half of 2011.


Wyckoff Logic

1) The volume you see is for the SLV Etf. I have checked the volume of the current silver futures contract and it mirrors the SLV very closely. You can check the silver futures contract volume and COT data here at TimingCharts.com.

2) The current volume spike is at extreme levels, and most of it occurring in the latter part of the rise to 2011 $30 high. This late volume surge suggest that the well informed are selling to the less informed.

3) The over supply of sellers to buyers may halt the current price or even yield to falling prices. If volume increases or is maintain at these extreme levels then one may expect higher prices, but if volume drops off and no new highs are made, then demand has dwindled, and low prices can be expected. If we get new highs with much lower volume, we would not trust these new highs, and expect a correction.

Currently, we expect $32 to hold, subject to changes in volume patterns.


Gann Logic

1) The blue, red and green lines on the chart are Gann angle lines. Gann angle lines are not trendlines. Trendlines require two pivots to draw, a Gann angle line require only one, this is an advantage.
2) The red dots are buy zones along the 2009-2011 1x1 Gann angle line (or 1 unit of time to 1 unit in price).

Currently, price has exploded along the green Gann angle 4x1 line (or 4 units of price for 1 unit in time). This price acceleration is not sustainable, a minor sell off at $30 occurred when price breached the long term trendline from 2006. There is a high probability that price could either fall or at the very least travel sideways to reach the Gann angle 2x1 line (or 2 units of price to 1 unit in time).


Conclude

Letting profits ride, and ride and ride is the path to wealth. Determining when profits are about to be 'given back' to Mr Market can and should be only when the change in price appreciation deteriorates. This can be achieved by monitoring price action falling from Gann angle 4x1 to 2x1 (as in our case). More simply when price falls from the appreciate of 4 units in price to 1 unit in time, to 2 units in price to 1 unit in time, it is time to lock on profits.

At the moment SLV is under the influence of two powerful weekly cycles (32 and 60) that are currently peaking. We also know that SLV is suffering from massive bullish sentiment and any price top will mostly be skewed to the cycle top by several weeks. Be aware prices can still travel north on momentum, and on new news (USD falls hard, QE4,5,6). If you have profits stay with the trend for as long as price tracks above the 4x1 Gann angle line. Its great to bank 4 units of price for 1 unit of time, so keep on enjoying the ride.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment