• 450 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 451 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 452 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 852 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 857 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 859 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 862 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 862 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 863 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 865 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 865 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 869 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 869 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 870 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 872 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 873 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 876 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 877 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 877 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 879 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Dollar on the Edge of the Abyss

The dollar is now poised on the edge of the abyss.

The current intermediate cycle has rolled over and is making lower lows and lower highs. The current daily cycle has formed a swing high and is in jeopardy of rolling over into a left translated cycle. If the dollar breaks below the November intermediate bottom of 75.63 it will be an incredibly bearish sign as not only will the current intermediate cycle have topped in only 4 weeks but the larger yearly cycle will also have topped in only 4 weeks.

If that happens there is little chance the dollar will be able to hold above the March`08 lows as the crash down into the three year cycle low begins in earnest.

$USD Index

This will not only drive the final leg up in gold's huge C-wave it will also drive a huge spike in inflation in all other commodities. Food riots worldwide will intensify. The rest of the world will be in an uproar over the collapsing dollar. Spiking commodity prices will collapse discretionary spending just like it did in `08 and `09.

The phony economy driven by Ben's printing press will roll over when he's forced to turn off the presses to halt the dollar collapse. (Just like it started to do last summer when QE ended and the stock market started to collapse).

The dollar's rally out of the three year cycle low should correspond with stocks beginning the next leg down in the secular bear market and the next brief deflationary period just like the bounce out of the `08 three year cycle low drove the second leg down in the secular bear market.

The rally out of a three year cycle low usually lasts about a year to a year and a half. The next 4 year cycle low in the stock market is due in 2012. I expect that year long rally out of the coming three year cycle bottom to drive stocks down into the next major 4 year cycle trough and drive the CRB into its next major cycle bottom.

$USD Index

A lot is riding on the next 2/3 weeks. If the swing high in the dollar yesterday does signal the top of the dollar's daily cycle then the November low will almost surely be broken and the chain of events I laid out will be set in motion.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment