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Projecting the May-June Top, Part 1

This article will be the first in a series examining the evidence for a projected top in the May-June 2011 time frame.

On February 6, 2011 (see the archives at www.TTheory.com), I wrote about the 14-week cycle tops. I warned "to be prepared for a change in investor sentiment coming in the next week or two." As we know, the S&P topped on February 18, 2011 at 1344, and has been consolidating/correcting ever since.

This week, let's revisit the chart of 14-week cycle tops:


Larger Image

As you can see, this cycle suggests the next top will come on or about May 24, 2011.

In future weeks, we'll examine projections based on Money Flow Ts™, Volume Oscillator Ts, and the ringing of a 114-week cycle. Until then, use caution in your investments and manage your risk wisely.

 

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