• 1,021 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 1,021 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 1,023 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 1,422 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 1,427 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 1,429 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 1,432 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 1,433 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 1,433 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 1,435 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 1,435 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 1,439 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 1,440 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 1,440 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 1,443 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 1,443 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 1,446 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 1,447 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 1,447 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 1,449 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
Market Sentiment At Its Lowest In 10 Months

Market Sentiment At Its Lowest In 10 Months

Stocks sold off last week…

Is The Bull Market On Its Last Legs?

Is The Bull Market On Its Last Legs?

This aging bull market may…

Michael Pollaro

Michael Pollaro

Michael Pollaro is a retired Investment Banking professional, most recently Chief Operating Officer for the Bank's Cash Equity Trading Division. He is a passionate free…

Contact Author

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

America, Poised For a Hyperinflationary Event? ...The Roadmap

What follows is an update to our recent essay - America, poised for a hyperinflationary event? - including an update to our supporting metrics through December 2010. We're calling it a Roadmap to an inflation supernova in America, this essay elaborating on the dynamics and possible triggers behind the supernova. Not the only way America could get there, but if present trends continue, a roadmap that we think should be high on the list. Let's get right to it...

The U.S. government borrows and spends, running up its debt obligations, ad infinitum. At trend growth of 1.5 times U.S. net private savings and rising, such borrow and spend policies are increasingly beyond the means of America to finance the obligations...

Public Held US Treasury and Agency Debt

Foreign investors have though over the last clutch of years stepped into the financing mix in a big way, bailing America out...

Public Held US Treasury and Agency Debt

Underpinning this foreign demand for U.S. government securities are what we call "print and buy" countries - the mercantilist-minded, exporting-driven trading partners of America in Asia and the emerging markets plus the dollar-based, oil-producing countries of the Middle East, Africa and Latin America. They are the countries of the world whose central banks buy U.S. dollars collected by their export businesses, by printing their own money with which to do it, and with those dollars turn around and buy U.S. government securities, not because they necessarily consider them good investments, but primarily because the U.S. government securities market is currently the only U.S. dollar repository big enough to take the bid. In so doing, they keep their currencies weak and their export driven economies strong...

More charts and commentary continued at http://blogs.forbes.com/michaelpollaro/2011/03/17/america-poised-for-a-hyperinflationary-event-the-roadmap/

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment