In our recent articles we, indicated two issues, to be watchful for:
1) Dollar is about to correct collapsing-dollar-not-so-fast
2) Silver investors at $50/ounce are Bozos(sorry) reverse-polish-or-random-walk
3) The same places, we declared the OIL, suckers game above 100.
4) Now that everybody thinks "Stocks Are The Place" Only Blind can miss the bear market in place since April 2010. gold-and-spx-both-faked-it
I am not sure what does it take, but investors seem to be so carried away with the latest "IDEAS". About how, Silver Is going to "300 dollars soon" and "Dow 30000" and "Gold Is Real Money" etc., but we declared in April 2010 that Bull Market In stocks was dead and so was Gold Bull Market. The only item that kept progressing after that was the most speculative one Silver.
Ok, We can only hope that investors, do more home work and be more skilled in choosing the message as well as , messenger. Certainly, the Establishment analysts and Government officials have no interest in alerting public to the impending big falls in the markets even if they know it. In fact, declared purpose of FED's Dear Bernanke is to inflate some, so it is hard to expect him to warn us about the bear markets. The most likely case is inverse. Since April 2010, the FED and establishment did all they could to make it look like the BULL MARKET lives. Well that is less BULL and more BOOL as far as we could see and we also called the SWISS Frank the king for FEW MOONS, which it was/is.
In short, We care. That is the reason, we called the start of bear in 2007 /sorry-to-blow-your-$u$$ule-ringing-the-bell at the top. That is the reason, we told you to sell-in-may in April 2010 and kept warning you that the bull market was in reality the deception created by the GREEN GOGGLES, the establishment tried to put on investors.
The reason we do this is simple. Our motto is "YOU FIND WHAT YOU GIVE, ALL ELSE IS LOST". These are the golden words by the greatest 12 Century Georgian poet and philosopher Shota Rustavely.
Now to the future.
Stock Market
Our take on the markets has not changed. We view THE REAL Stock market in bear market, which we think continues. As indicated before, we expect the initial lows to come in a period of July/September.
Bonds
Our Assumption/statement is that bonds are in a long term bear market started in 2008, but one could have nice rally in them, while everything else is moving lower next few weeks/months.
Dollar
As we indicated the in an article from above, the Dollar Collapse will have to wait.
Metals
Bullish in a longer term, but all else supports continuation of decline next few weeks/months.
OIL
We think OIL will be $500 one day in not too distant future and that will be associated with the war related to the energy future of the mother earth. But we also think it will be less than $5 in the END GAME for everything big. Of course nothing is bigger than the Quadrillion dollars worth of CARBON, in the hands of USA, CANADA, RUSSIA, SAUDI ARABIA, etc. We can supply farther info to all that are interested how and why does this scenario come along. You will also be given convincing reasons, why this could help USA to cover all its indebtedness and make the DOLLAR, King of the Hills again ( timing is tricky, so do not act on this now)
In Conclusion, i would like to ask you take a look at the PLN( Polish Zloty) chart at the link reverse-polish-or-random-walk and see how well did it follow the outline. Secondly, I would like to attract your attention to the exhibit below that shows that the PPP(purchase power parity) deviation of RUBBLE (Russian Currency the best pure correlation with OIL), was as big( if not bigger) couple weeks ago , as it was only once in history. Yes, that was in June 2008. We all know what happened to OIL then. I hope this information is helpful otherwise as well.
We can be reached at bchikvash@aol.com and antisoptiatlist
Good Trading Dear Reader