Update & Recommendations:
Two Weeks Ago:
In my previous Update, a couple of weeks ago, I continued to provide support that a meaningful General Market Bearish Inflection Point was long over-due. I have also stated, in my other blog Commentaries, that - this marketplace - looks and feels a great deal like the early to middle of 2007 or perhaps even closer - - to the October 2007 top. This statement is supported by Fundamental valuations, Technical analytics and Consensus data. I humbly suggest you take these remarks to heart. The Breadth of this marketplace started deteriorating quite severely about the first of this year. You have been warned.
I also shared: "This past couple of weeks strongly support the above position. There will be "bounce" rallies, but so far they are only going through the process of "Confirming" all my warnings of bearish conditions."
The time is getting quite close to the 'bounce rally' I mentioned above. As of today, I believe that I WILL take Bullish Positions for the anticipated Rally. I am ready with my Candidates for Buying - (C4Bs). One never knows the results before a Rally or Pullback presents itself for taking positions. Unless there are compelling reasons to pass up an investment opportunity - I believe you must participate.
Crude Oil, Energy / Gold and Silver are "Breaking Down" and that too is serious. Navigating through this mine-field will be as difficult as, I can remember. The manipulation is severe by the "Big Guns" and the ethics, that were once acceptable, including: Wall Street, the Media, Mutual Funds and Stock Brokers are lost forever. The good news is the - above-mentioned 'Bounce Rally' - it could be your last chance to recover some of the losses you have incurred since the early part of this year.
Let me know it I can help.
Today:
A tradable "Bounce Rally" should take place in the coming few days this next week. Conformations need to take place, but that can happen in just a couple trading sessions. I will be taking positions, but I currently have doubts about just how long this rally will last. I am willing to take smaller profits if necessary.
Therefore, do not be surprised if this looks more like a trading opportunity with a near-term duration.
I remain strongly in the Bearish Camp and believe the above-mentioned rally will lead to the beginning of a meaningful pullback.
As for Gold and Silver, they too will rally, after-which I suggest prudence.
Repeating from 2 weeks ago: As of today, I have stopped my blogging in SeekingAlpha.com / Instablog. I considered the information incredible accurate and clearly if followed even by rather unsophisticated investors they could have made money hand over fist. My reasons are simple - I will not share if I do not have the response. This is only the beginning of my cutting back on - my working very hard for nameless investors.
There is a special offer in my Wednesday - Personal / Private Blog. You might want to take a peek. It will be in affect for only ten more days.
My Table of all the Sectors and Commodities is also posted each Wednesday in the same and following URL. Remember, I believe you must invest in strength and not permit your portfolio to hold companies of weak Sectors and Commodities. This is my invitation to visit my - Personal / Private Blog. http://twitter.com/#!/InvestRotation
Note: You will be notified, here in SafeHaven.com when the General Market confirms my anticipated Bullish Inflection Point - it will be something like: "Houston it's a "Go" - we are airborne . . ." If you are on my mail / alert list you will receive the same only more detailed information. If you are a prospective client, you will receive specific recommendations - upon request.
This will be as far as I go with recommendations, warnings and alerts in the flow of on going publishing of my several blogs. If that is sufficient for you - that is great, and I am pleased to offer you this level of direction. If you are looking for more detail and learn more about how I do my work / analytics - you will have to contact me by Email.
Something to Ponder:
This is very important, at least to me:
Since my last posting in SafeHaven.com, I have completed a several year's study that will likely replace much of the work / analytics that I do within my methodology.
In a nutshell, I now have a leading indicator that: a) anticipates Inflection Points by 1 - 3 weeks; b) is always in sync. with my principle of Rotation; and c) is perfectly tuned to be within the parameters of my SHB Cycle.
I said recently in one of my blogs that: "I did not have a crystal ball." Today, I have much more than a crystal ball - it is fully back-tested data that has 100% accuracy and is able to confirm what specific Companies / ETFs have the very highest probability of low risk profits - at the time of taking positions.
Fred Astaire and Ginger Rogers were once interviewed: As always, much of the attention went to Fred and that often irritated Ginger. When they ask Ginger to comment on Fred's remarks, she said: "What Fred is telling you is completely accurate. What you folks fail to understand about dancing are that I do everything Fred does - only backward and in high heels."
Well, I have enjoyed the same challenge as Ginger for over 40 years. Now, I can do my work / analytics like Fred does his dancing. Trust me, it is much easier now that I have my above mentioned new tool to incorporate into my proven methodology.
Three articles supporting my "Three Pillars" of my Investment Methodology that you may want to read: (the title for each is at the end of the below URLs)
http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/121308-steven-bauer/119898-my-rotation-model-a-short-explanation
http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/121308-steven-bauer/120955-my-shb-cycle-a-short-explanation
http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/121308-steven-bauer/104062-inflection-points-a-short-explanation
I would appreciate you also reading my more complete Bio. - with strong opinions offered to be sure we are at least a little compatible in our investment philosophy. Use this URL for my Bio:
http://seekingalpha.com/author/steven-bauer
If you would like to have further information on my work / analytics or perhaps my professional asset management, mentoring or consulting - services ...
I would appreciate your sharing just a bit about yourself and your investment objectives,
Just send me an Email, and I will respond promptly.
Thank you for your time in reading my "stuff."
Smile, have Fun - "Investing Wisely",
