• 681 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 681 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 683 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 1,083 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 1,088 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 1,089 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 1,093 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 1,093 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 1,094 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 1,095 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 1,096 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 1,100 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 1,100 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 1,101 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 1,103 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 1,103 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 1,107 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 1,108 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 1,108 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 1,110 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
The Problem With Modern Monetary Theory

The Problem With Modern Monetary Theory

Modern monetary theory has been…

Zombie Foreclosures On The Rise In The U.S.

Zombie Foreclosures On The Rise In The U.S.

During the quarter there were…

How Millennials Are Reshaping Real Estate

How Millennials Are Reshaping Real Estate

The real estate market is…

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Debtageddon

Debtageddon

Just like in the cinematic masterpiece that is Armageddon, the rocket (Congress) is about to land on the approaching asteroid (US debt) and blow it up (extend the debt ceiling).

Certainly our growing debt load is worrisome to say the least - but this fiscal armageddon is a relative game and there's still a few asteroids with precarious trajectories hurling towards our friends in Europe.

Judging by how the precious metals market has responded this week to whispers of resolution in the debt debate (quick pockets of weakness) gives traders some insight as to how the currency markets, and by extension the precious metals market, will likely respond once the issue is resolved.

The euro hit its 61.8% fibonacci retacement level Tuesday from the early July low and has pivoted sharply back through the descending triangle on the daily chart. Judging by the momentum oscillators it has a ways to run back towards the bottom of the formation ~ 140.

Euro Fibonacci Retracements

Euro and Silver

I believe silver (and likely gold this time around) will follow the euro sharply lower as in early May. How the euro handles the bottom of the formation will likely tell if silver's weakness is just transitory or a more serious concern. With a relatively loose formation such as this, a bearish descending triangle can quickly become a bullish descending wedge.

Stay frosty traders.

Further bias - War is Hell

 


I just joined Twitter. All my trades and occasional market musings are disclosed in real-time here.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment