• 747 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 748 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 749 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 1,149 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 1,154 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 1,156 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 1,159 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 1,159 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 1,160 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 1,162 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 1,162 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 1,166 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 1,166 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 1,167 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 1,169 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 1,170 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 1,173 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 1,174 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 1,174 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 1,176 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
Zombie Foreclosures On The Rise In The U.S.

Zombie Foreclosures On The Rise In The U.S.

During the quarter there were…

The Problem With Modern Monetary Theory

The Problem With Modern Monetary Theory

Modern monetary theory has been…

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Daily Analysis

Another bearish set up has failed, the potential reversal pattern that I have highlighted last Sunday has turned out to be a small correction which will allow further extension within the up leg that began at the December 19 low.

Below, in the 30 min chart of ES Globex, we can see a likely Flat Wave (IV) correction completed at yesterday's lod.


Larger Image

I don't give up in my short-term outlook which calls for a potential 5% corrective move.

I am on the "look out" for the "true" reversal pattern that can occur at any moment, probably on OPEX day (next Friday).

My short-term bearish stance is not a "subjective" attitude, It is based upon what momentum and breadth indicators & sentiment are strongly suggesting.

As I mentioned yesterday: "Even if a top is not in place I am confident that we will "see" a correction of the December 19th. up leg very soon.

Given that yesterday price was once again unwilling to confirm the "awaited" reversal we cannot rule out another attempt to achieve a higher high.

Judging from the Dow Piercing Line candlestick, odds favour another push higher but if the Ending Diagonal is the correct pattern just a marginal higher high / Double Top should be the candidate for the long overdue reversal, therefore today we have to pay close attention on how price reacts once/if a higher high is achieved."

So in the Dow we have a "clear" Ending Diagonal in progress, here a Double Top or a Marginal higher high can "kill" the last bag holder:


Larger Image

Regarding SPX there is an "obvious" bearish rising wedge, which until the upper trend line resistance is not broken, it should cap the upside potential of this persistent and seemingly endless up leg.


Larger Image

And we cannot forget that the odds that VIX has already established some type of a bottom are very large. We now have a potential higher low and a rising trend line support which suggest that here there is a trend reversal


Larger Image

Another warning for the bulls is coming from the DAX which is having difficulties in following SPX/DOW/NDX higher and may have already the wave (3) of (C) in place

Keep in mind that the DAX has been one of "the leaders" during this rally; hence a failure here may presage a correction of the US equity market.


Larger Image

And to conclude today's daily update in my opinion the EUR will also exercise bearish vibrations since, if my short-term scenario is correct, a correction is already in progress with a pending wave (C) down.


Larger Image

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment